Talen Energy Corporation

BIT:1TLN Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.9b

Talen Energy Valuation

Is 1TLN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1TLN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1TLN (€270) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€859.19)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1TLN is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1TLN?

Key metric: As 1TLN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1TLN. This is calculated by dividing 1TLN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1TLN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesUS$3.74b
Market CapUS$14.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1TLN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1TLN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
EDNR Edison
0.5xn/a€9.3b
TRN Terna
4.4x7.04%€18.5b
IG Italgas
2.2x-1.05%€8.4b
SRG Snam
4.6x4.36%€18.5b
1TLN Talen Energy
4x11.58%€14.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1TLN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1TLN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

18 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1TLN 4.0xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies18PS02.85.68.411.214+
18 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1TLN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1TLN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1TLN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio2.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1TLN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1TLN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€270.00
€395.46
+46.47%
13.18%€481.49€263.96n/a17
Sep ’27€258.00
€394.40
+52.87%
13.18%€480.20€263.25n/a17
Aug ’27€290.00
€406.36
+40.12%
13.79%€515.81€266.14n/a16
Jul ’27€318.00
€414.16
+30.24%
11.31%€520.74€340.07n/a16
Jun ’27€322.00
€409.20
+27.08%
11.98%€512.18€334.47n/a15
May ’27€314.00
€400.68
+27.61%
11.02%€506.86€331.56n/a15
Apr ’27€282.40
€402.81
+42.64%
9.02%€471.83€334.55n/a15
Mar ’27€314.20
€391.63
+24.64%
8.56%€461.02€328.68n/a15
Feb ’27€293.40
€395.76
+34.89%
8.91%€491.38€325.26n/a15
Jan ’27€322.40
€382.17
+18.54%
12.03%€488.74€261.20n/a16
Dec ’26€328.70
€389.88
+18.61%
12.68%€513.44€266.26n/a16
Nov ’26n/a
€385.05
0%
12.33%€498.01€265.43n/a16
Oct ’26n/a
€368.66
0%
12.50%€492.19€262.33n/a15
Sep ’26n/a
€342.45
0%
9.17%€374.52€263.71€258.0013
Aug ’26n/a
€332.94
0%
10.25%€377.40€265.74€290.0011
Jul ’26n/a
€257.85
0%
14.71%€312.67€170.86€318.0013
Jun ’26n/a
€231.31
0%
8.00%€253.82€179.38€322.0013
May ’26n/a
€225.50
0%
7.79%€253.13€176.40€314.0013
Apr ’26n/a
€240.69
0%
8.83%€266.02€185.38€282.4013
Mar ’26n/a
€260.03
0%
6.19%€284.44€239.12€314.2012
Feb ’26n/a
€254.77
0%
6.06%€279.35€236.44€293.4010
Jan ’26n/a
€241.14
0%
4.41%€258.13€225.51€322.4011
Dec ’25n/a
€227.58
0%
8.83%€256.63€192.71€328.709
Nov ’25n/a
€202.88
0%
12.03%€247.82€171.07n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
€192.69
0%
10.13%€237.10€166.15n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
€144.89
0%
10.01%€159.59€125.52n/a5
€397.08
Fair Value
32.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 14:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Talen Energy Corporation is covered by 28 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays
Moses SuttonBNP Paribas
Ross FowlerBofA Global Research