Stock Analysis

ENAV (BIT:ENAV) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

BIT:ENAV
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, ENAV S.p.A. (BIT:ENAV) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ENAV

What Is ENAV's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 ENAV had debt of €650.4m, up from €534.1m in one year. On the flip side, it has €225.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €425.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:ENAV Debt to Equity History June 11th 2022

How Strong Is ENAV's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ENAV had liabilities of €517.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €667.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €225.3m as well as receivables valued at €182.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €777.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since ENAV has a market capitalization of €2.19b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

ENAV's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 27.2 times, makes us even more comfortable. One way ENAV could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 10%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ENAV's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, ENAV saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither ENAV's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. It's also worth noting that ENAV is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that ENAV's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ENAV (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.