Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

BIT:1ODFL Stock Report

Market Cap: €42.4b

Old Dominion Freight Line Valuation

Is 1ODFL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1ODFL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1ODFL (€211.4) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€122.26)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1ODFL is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1ODFL?

Key metric: As 1ODFL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1ODFL. This is calculated by dividing 1ODFL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1ODFL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.2x
EarningsUS$1.01b
Market CapUS$49.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1ODFL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1ODFL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.6x
LDB Lindbergh
42.2xn/a€108.8m
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
43.8x11.43%US$26.5b
XPO XPO
76.8x20.33%US$25.4b
FDXF FedEx Freight Holding Company
23.8x7.81%US$20.9b
1ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line
51.2x11.75%€49.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1ODFL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.2x) compared to the peer average (46.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1ODFL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1ODFL 51.2xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1ODFL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.2x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1ODFL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1ODFL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.2x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1ODFL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1ODFL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€211.40
€192.38
-9.00%
10.47%€225.50€134.43n/a22
Jun ’27€194.94
€182.80
-6.23%
9.63%€206.33€133.25n/a22
May ’27€181.62
€179.75
-1.03%
10.43%€204.46€132.04n/a24
Apr ’27€173.25
€172.43
-0.47%
10.46%€200.73€134.11n/a24
Mar ’27€170.55
€167.46
-1.81%
10.76%€197.13€131.70n/a24
Feb ’27€144.45
€143.55
-0.63%
11.87%€167.68€97.53n/a24
Jan ’27€136.35
€134.56
-1.32%
10.00%€162.28€97.37n/a24
Dec ’26€118.95
€133.77
+12.46%
9.35%€155.91€98.20n/a24
Nov ’26€121.65
€135.70
+11.55%
7.81%€156.49€119.31n/a22
Oct ’26€117.90
€136.51
+15.79%
8.78%€166.18€109.93n/a21
Sep ’26€127.85
€138.00
+7.94%
8.34%€166.90€110.41n/a21
Aug ’26€124.40
€139.75
+12.34%
8.28%€168.40€111.40n/a22
Jul ’26€143.90
€142.17
-1.20%
7.73%€169.64€122.14n/a23
Jun ’26€142.20
€147.74
+3.90%
7.93%€167.35€118.03€194.9422
May ’26€132.20
€146.18
+10.58%
7.71%€166.31€117.29€181.6222
Apr ’26n/a
€177.21
0%
12.71%€222.46€143.67€173.2523
Mar ’26n/a
€191.15
0%
10.45%€229.32€148.10€170.5521
Feb ’26n/a
€190.39
0%
10.59%€230.38€148.78€144.4521
Jan ’26n/a
€194.29
0%
12.12%€229.62€147.68€136.3521
Dec ’25n/a
€189.96
0%
12.74%€231.43€148.85€118.9521
Nov ’25n/a
€175.80
0%
9.09%€201.34€143.16€121.6521
Oct ’25n/a
€176.58
0%
10.37%€205.98€140.03€117.9021
Sep ’25n/a
€181.43
0%
10.02%€210.19€142.89€127.8521
Aug ’25n/a
€181.43
0%
10.02%€210.19€142.89€124.4021
Jul ’25n/a
€182.83
0%
9.99%€219.28€141.83€143.9021
Jun ’25n/a
€189.73
0%
10.51%€225.33€139.79€142.2019
€189.27
Fair Value
11.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 05:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Daniel MooreBaird
Brandon OglenskiBarclays