Norfolk Southern Corporation

BIT:1NSC Stock Report

Market Cap: €49.4b

Norfolk Southern Valuation

Is 1NSC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1NSC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€235.57
Fair Value
7.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1NSC (€218) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€235.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1NSC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1NSC?

Key metric: As 1NSC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1NSC. This is calculated by dividing 1NSC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1NSC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.6x
EarningsUS$3.32b
Market CapUS$55.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1NSC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1NSC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
FNM FNM
3x-0.68%€174.0m
CSX CSX
18.1x6.21%US$58.8b
CNR Canadian National Railway
21x6.94%CA$94.7b
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City
27.5x9.83%CA$106.1b
1NSC Norfolk Southern
16.6x0.96%€55.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1NSC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1NSC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1NSC 16.6xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1NSC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1NSC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1NSC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1NSC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1NSC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€218.00
€231.29
+6.10%
9.00%€260.10€156.06n/a24
May ’26€194.00
€225.72
+16.35%
8.71%€253.84€152.30n/a25
Apr ’26n/a
€254.41
0%
9.38%€282.70€162.21n/a26
Mar ’26n/a
€264.46
0%
9.74%€291.55€167.28n/a25
Feb ’26n/a
€267.39
0%
9.74%€293.11€168.18n/a25
Jan ’26n/a
€267.02
0%
10.63%€308.64€168.79n/a25
Dec ’25n/a
€261.15
0%
10.43%€299.25€165.73n/a25
Nov ’25n/a
€252.50
0%
9.76%€281.05€161.79n/a25
Oct ’25n/a
€238.18
0%
8.94%€262.25€157.17n/a25
Sep ’25n/a
€243.03
0%
8.70%€267.56€160.35n/a25
Aug ’25n/a
€244.46
0%
8.85%€269.78€161.68n/a25
Jul ’25n/a
€251.97
0%
6.21%€279.93€217.41n/a23
Jun ’25n/a
€248.90
0%
6.17%€276.21€214.52n/a23
May ’25n/a
€253.32
0%
6.86%€284.47€217.32€194.0024
Apr ’25n/a
€243.80
0%
7.99%€283.96€215.06n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
€231.73
0%
8.48%€281.88€191.31n/a24
Feb ’25n/a
€222.24
0%
8.98%€250.24€161.00n/a25
Jan ’25n/a
€210.68
0%
10.00%€239.95€154.51n/a25
Dec ’24n/a
€209.02
0%
9.39%€242.75€156.32n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
€214.24
0%
9.19%€249.82€160.87n/a25
Oct ’24n/a
€233.02
0%
8.32%€262.58€165.99n/a25
Sep ’24n/a
€230.42
0%
8.07%€258.08€163.14n/a26
Aug ’24n/a
€226.62
0%
8.20%€254.63€160.96n/a26
Jul ’24n/a
€218.81
0%
8.30%€264.99€160.10n/a26
Jun ’24n/a
€222.66
0%
8.34%€269.48€162.81n/a26
May ’24n/a
€214.86
0%
8.63%€261.36€157.91n/a25
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
€230.61
Fair Value
5.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/19 09:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/19 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Norfolk Southern Corporation is covered by 46 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Oliver HolmesAtlantic Equities LLP
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research