Lyft Valuation

Is 1LYFT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1LYFT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1LYFT (€13.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€37.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1LYFT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1LYFT?

Key metric: As 1LYFT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1LYFT. This is calculated by dividing 1LYFT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1LYFT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$5.46b
Market CapUS$5.63b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1LYFT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1LYFT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
SBC Sicily by Car
1x5.5%€131.7m
ENAV ENAV
2.2x3.4%€2.2b
AYV Ayvens
0.2x2.6%€5.2b
SIX2 Sixt
0.9x6.3%€3.3b
1LYFT Lyft
1x11.9%€5.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1LYFT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1LYFT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1LYFT 1.0xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1LYFT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1LYFT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1LYFT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1LYFT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1LYFT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.15
€18.55
+41.1%
13.6%€24.79€14.50n/a37
Dec ’25€16.35
€18.39
+12.5%
13.6%€24.82€14.52n/a37
Nov ’25€12.65
€14.25
+12.7%
22.7%€24.04€9.25n/a36
Oct ’25€11.27
€13.65
+21.1%
24.6%€23.26€8.95n/a34
Sep ’25€10.48
€13.73
+30.9%
25.3%€23.52€9.05n/a34
Aug ’25€10.85
€17.74
+63.5%
15.3%€24.01€12.47n/a35
Jul ’25€12.83
€18.23
+42.1%
13.3%€24.27€14.00n/a35
Jun ’25€14.36
€17.56
+22.3%
13.4%€23.15€13.89n/a35
May ’25€15.11
€15.96
+5.7%
19.1%€23.42€11.24n/a36
Apr ’25€17.84
€15.50
-13.1%
18.8%€23.28€11.17n/a35
Mar ’25€15.11
€14.93
-1.2%
16.5%€23.04€11.06n/a35
Feb ’25€11.48
€12.61
+9.9%
23.4%€22.97€9.19n/a35
Jan ’25€13.62
€11.84
-13.1%
25.0%€22.65€8.83n/a34
Dec ’24€10.34
€11.71
+13.2%
25.9%€23.05€8.99€16.3534
Nov ’24n/a
€11.62
0%
26.4%€23.61€8.50€12.6533
Oct ’24€9.95
€11.62
+16.8%
26.4%€23.61€8.50€11.2733
Sep ’24€11.16
€11.52
+3.2%
27.5%€23.13€7.03€10.4834
Aug ’24€10.94
€11.14
+1.8%
40.6%€28.95€6.88€10.8535
Jul ’24€9.00
€11.13
+23.7%
40.9%€29.92€7.11€12.8334
Jun ’24€8.60
€11.26
+30.9%
40.8%€29.94€7.11€14.3633
May ’24€9.48
€12.96
+36.6%
37.2%€30.95€9.10€15.1131
Apr ’24€8.57
€13.44
+57.0%
37.1%€31.34€9.22€17.8431
Mar ’24€9.27
€13.58
+46.4%
37.1%€31.85€9.37€15.1132
Feb ’24€15.03
€19.80
+31.7%
52.1%€54.62€10.01€11.4836
Jan ’24€10.47
€21.70
+107.3%
51.2%€57.30€10.51€13.6234
Dec ’23€10.75
€22.68
+111.0%
53.0%€58.23€10.68€10.3434

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 17:05
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lyft, Inc. is covered by 70 analysts. 41 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Oliver LesterArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
null nullArgus Research Company