FedEx Corporation

BIT:1FDX Stock Report

Market Cap: €72.7b

FedEx Valuation

Is 1FDX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1FDX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1FDX (€303.4) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€726.34)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 1FDX is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1FDX?

Key metric: As 1FDX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1FDX. This is calculated by dividing 1FDX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1FDX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
EarningsUS$4.33b
Market CapUS$84.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1FDX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1FDX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
UPS United Parcel Service
15.2x6.54%US$86.9b
DHL Deutsche Post
14.5x6.34%€50.8b
DSV DSV
45.1x23.28%DKK 378.3b
002352 S.F. Holding
17.1x11.27%CN¥184.2b
1FDX FedEx
19.6x9.09%€84.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1FDX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1FDX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1FDX 19.6xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies5PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1FDX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1FDX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1FDX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio28.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1FDX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1FDX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€303.40
€325.22
+7.19%
17.93%€412.66€189.53n/a28
Mar ’27€331.80
€317.67
-4.26%
17.53%€405.19€186.10n/a28
Feb ’27€268.30
€263.89
-1.64%
11.20%€312.26€179.66n/a28
Jan ’27€249.25
€254.55
+2.13%
11.05%€305.35€178.12n/a28
Dec ’26€235.75
€234.55
-0.51%
9.62%€275.65€172.28n/a28
Nov ’26€220.95
€230.13
+4.16%
9.90%€276.67€172.92n/a29
Oct ’26€202.05
€225.81
+11.76%
9.88%€272.86€170.54n/a28
Sep ’26€196.36
€227.40
+15.81%
10.18%€273.89€171.18n/a29
Aug ’26€188.54
€226.81
+20.30%
10.10%€272.45€170.28n/a30
Jul ’26€199.12
€223.46
+12.23%
10.38%€271.42€169.64n/a31
Jun ’26€192.18
€245.00
+27.48%
12.75%€313.57€177.16n/a31
May ’26€183.00
€243.14
+32.86%
12.93%€309.86€175.06n/a31
Apr ’26€223.90
€266.20
+18.89%
12.87%€327.20€184.86n/a32
Mar ’26€252.25
€311.52
+23.50%
12.71%€361.36€194.28€331.8029
Feb ’26€255.95
€310.55
+21.33%
12.64%€357.08€191.98€268.3029
Jan ’26€266.20
€310.82
+16.76%
12.41%€354.87€191.82€249.2528
Dec ’25€287.40
€293.68
+2.19%
10.73%€345.66€189.40€235.7529
Nov ’25€254.55
€282.39
+10.94%
10.43%€320.99€183.42€220.9529
Oct ’25€243.80
€275.90
+13.17%
10.63%€314.07€178.96€202.0529
Sep ’25€268.05
€289.95
+8.17%
10.27%€324.14€193.59€196.3629
Aug ’25€277.15
€295.43
+6.60%
10.25%€330.64€198.02€188.5428
Jul ’25€279.35
€296.43
+6.11%
10.37%€335.13€200.70€199.1228
Jun ’25€229.70
€285.60
+24.34%
10.22%€323.52€193.56€192.1828
May ’25€246.80
€285.73
+15.77%
9.89%€323.31€193.43€183.0030
Apr ’25€267.00
€287.40
+7.64%
10.13%€326.78€195.51€223.9029
Mar ’25€228.50
€271.16
+18.67%
10.52%€320.21€179.95€252.2530
€317.18
Fair Value
4.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/09 23:28
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/09 00:00
Earnings2025/11/30
Annual Earnings2025/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

FedEx Corporation is covered by 49 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Benjamin HartfordBaird