Stock Analysis

Esprinet S.p.A.'s (BIT:PRT) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

BIT:PRT
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Esprinet's (BIT:PRT) stock is up by a considerable 44% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Esprinet's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Esprinet

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Esprinet is:

8.4% = €32m ÷ €376m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.08.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Esprinet's Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

At first glance, Esprinet's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.3%. But then again, Esprinet's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

However, when we compared Esprinet's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
BIT:PRT Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is PRT worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether PRT is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Esprinet Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 24%. Regardless, the future ROE for Esprinet is predicted to rise to 10% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Esprinet's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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