Seagate Technology Holdings plc

BIT:1STX Stock Report

Market Cap: €28.4b

Seagate Technology Holdings Valuation

Is 1STX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1STX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€185.22
Fair Value
28.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1STX (€132.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€185.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1STX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1STX?

Key metric: As 1STX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1STX. This is calculated by dividing 1STX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1STX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.4x
EarningsUS$1.47b
Market CapUS$32.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1STX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1STX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
WDC Western Digital
16.7x7.60%US$26.7b
HPQ HP
9.1x5.09%US$23.0b
OLI Olidata
24.6x7.94%€53.3m
2382 Quanta Computer
16.1x11.55%NT$1.1t
1STX Seagate Technology Holdings
22.4x13.23%€32.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1STX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1STX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1STX 22.4xIndustry Avg. 24.6xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1STX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the European Tech industry average (24.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1STX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1STX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1STX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1STX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€132.90
€142.44
+7.18%
15.90%€175.06€70.02n/a19
Jul ’26€122.12
€103.86
-14.95%
23.05%€169.64€57.68n/a19
Jun ’26€104.70
€102.82
-1.80%
19.25%€124.01€60.23n/a19
May ’26€79.16
€95.04
+20.06%
20.32%€124.00€53.14n/a19
Apr ’26€78.55
€107.97
+37.46%
17.60%€138.57€62.82n/a19
Mar ’26€97.14
€114.18
+17.54%
18.32%€144.20€65.37n/a19
Feb ’26€95.89
€114.36
+19.26%
18.78%€152.50€64.81n/a21
Jan ’26€82.78
€108.74
+31.36%
20.48%€138.42€59.98n/a20
Dec ’25€96.46
€108.74
+12.73%
20.48%€138.42€59.98n/a20
Nov ’25€91.80
€108.76
+18.47%
21.36%€139.07€60.26n/a20
Oct ’25€97.68
€102.06
+4.48%
21.46%€127.79€58.49n/a20
Sep ’25€88.80
€102.89
+15.86%
21.46%€128.82€58.97n/a20
Aug ’25€93.48
€105.95
+13.34%
19.57%€131.02€59.98€132.9020
Jul ’25€95.75
€90.35
-5.64%
18.23%€111.15€51.37€122.1221
Jun ’25€84.37
€88.72
+5.16%
18.20%€109.69€50.70€104.7021
May ’25€80.16
€88.82
+10.81%
18.29%€111.19€51.39€79.1620
Apr ’25€85.75
€84.72
-1.20%
20.07%€106.18€46.17€78.5520
Mar ’25€89.71
€81.18
-9.51%
20.52%€106.03€46.10€97.1420
Feb ’25€79.61
€79.94
+0.42%
20.48%€105.80€46.00€95.8919
Jan ’25€78.27
€63.25
-19.20%
16.33%€83.12€36.14€82.7819
Dec ’24€72.92
€64.25
-11.89%
14.08%€80.06€37.68€96.4619
Nov ’24€66.33
€64.25
-3.14%
14.08%€80.06€37.68€91.8019
Oct ’24€62.22
€59.70
-4.05%
14.29%€74.87€37.44€97.6819
Sep ’24€67.13
€57.29
-14.65%
14.99%€72.70€36.35€88.8020
Aug ’24€57.88
€56.92
-1.67%
14.41%€71.12€36.47€93.4819
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
€139.70
Fair Value
4.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/04 15:34
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/01 00:00
Earnings2025/06/27
Annual Earnings2025/06/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Seagate Technology Holdings plc is covered by 53 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Phillip AllingAtlantic Equities LLP
Tristan GerraBaird