Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Siav (BIT:SIAV), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Siav:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.029 = €709k ÷ (€52m - €28m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Therefore, Siav has an ROCE of 2.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 9.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Siav
In the above chart we have measured Siav's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Siav .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Siav's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 5.0% over the last three years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, Siav's current liabilities are still rather high at 53% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Siav is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 40% over the last year, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Siav has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Siav (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
While Siav may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:SIAV
Siav
Offers software solutions and IT services for enterprise content management industry.
Undervalued slight.