Reply (BIT:REY) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Reply (BIT:REY) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

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Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Reply:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.18 = €165m ÷ (€1.5b - €565m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

So, Reply has an ROCE of 18%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the IT industry average of 6.9% it's much better.

View our latest analysis for Reply

roce
BIT:REY Return on Capital Employed July 20th 2021

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Reply compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Reply here for free.

So How Is Reply's ROCE Trending?

In terms of Reply's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 22% over the last five years. However it looks like Reply might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

What We Can Learn From Reply's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Reply is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 362% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

If you're still interested in Reply it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

While Reply isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

A landmark settlement is meant to punish Meta (META). If the 1998 tobacco deal is any guide, it might protect it.

A landmark settlement is meant to punish Meta (META). If the 1998 tobacco deal is any guide, it might protect it. cover
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ZO
zoe_vi5fn

Any moat with an opt-out clause for your competitors is just a fence around your own garden.

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connor_iwn1g

Worth looking at what previous legal action actually did to Meta rather than reaching for tobacco. The FTC's record five billion dollar privacy fine in 2019 was met with the stock rising, because it came in below fears and removed an open question. GDPR was designed to constrain large platforms and increased their share of the European ad market, because compliance cost fell hardest on small intermediaries. The FTC's antitrust case, the one that could genuinely have broken the company up, was decided in Meta's favour last November. The only thing that ever meaningfully hurt the business was Apple changing a tracking default, and Meta out-spent that too, while the ad-tech firms that could not afford to rebuild disappeared. The pattern is not that Meta survives regulation. It is that regulation keeps costing its smaller competitors more.

Andrew Legget

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real?

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real? cover
At first glance, this was the strongest earnings season in years. But when you look at where the growth actually came from, the story splits into two very different pictures.
10

About BIT:REY

Reply

Provides consulting, system integration, and digital services based on communication channels and digital media in Italy and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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