Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Doxee S.p.A. (BIT:DOX) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Doxee
What Is Doxee's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Doxee had €21.1m of debt, up from €6.45m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has €4.34m in cash leading to net debt of about €16.8m.
How Strong Is Doxee's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Doxee had liabilities of €19.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €21.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €4.34m in cash and €14.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €21.9m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €26.5m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Doxee's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Doxee's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Doxee wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to €29m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Doxee's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost €1.5m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled €5.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Doxee is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:DOX
Doxee
A high-tech company, provides products for customer communications management (CCM), digital customer experience, and Paperless.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.