SAP Valuation

Is 1SAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1SAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1SAP (€171.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€259.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1SAP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1SAP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1SAP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA25.5x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1SAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1SAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.5x
ADBE Adobe
46.1x17.1%US$221.1b
CRM Salesforce
64.6x18.6%US$267.4b
INTU Intuit
64.1x17.5%US$177.7b
SNPS Synopsys
59.1x14.0%US$83.2b
77.3x33.2%€199.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.3x) compared to the peer average (58.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1SAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a48.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a48.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.3x) compared to the European Software industry average (34.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1SAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1SAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio77.3x
Fair PE Ratio71.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (71.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1SAP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€174.10
€186.58
+7.2%
17.1%€230.00€90.00n/a24
Apr ’25€185.20
€177.92
-3.9%
17.2%€230.00€90.00n/a24
Mar ’25€173.28
€173.75
+0.3%
15.4%€205.00€90.00n/a24
Feb ’25€161.92
€167.42
+3.4%
16.7%€200.00€90.00n/a24
Jan ’25€137.38
€141.77
+3.2%
12.8%€170.00€90.00n/a26
Dec ’24€146.00
€139.08
-4.7%
11.5%€162.00€90.00n/a26
Nov ’24€127.80
€139.08
+8.8%
11.5%€162.00€90.00n/a26
Oct ’24€124.12
€137.50
+10.8%
9.1%€159.00€115.00n/a24
Sep ’24€129.12
€137.08
+6.2%
8.9%€159.00€115.00n/a24
Aug ’24€124.28
€136.88
+10.1%
8.7%€154.00€115.00n/a24
Jul ’24€124.78
€130.85
+4.9%
13.1%€154.00€68.00n/a26
Jun ’24€121.34
€129.76
+6.9%
13.8%€154.00€68.00n/a25
May ’24€123.42
€127.31
+3.1%
14.5%€150.00€68.00€170.0826
Apr ’24€116.08
€118.12
+1.8%
14.3%€143.00€68.00€185.2025
Mar ’24€107.00
€116.63
+9.0%
13.8%€143.00€68.00€173.2827
Feb ’24€109.48
€116.63
+6.5%
13.8%€143.00€68.00€161.9227
Jan ’24€96.38
€113.78
+18.1%
14.4%€143.00€68.00€137.3827
Dec ’23€106.10
€113.04
+6.5%
14.4%€143.00€68.00€146.0027
Nov ’23€96.79
€112.19
+15.9%
13.2%€135.00€68.00€127.8027
Oct ’23€83.20
€111.07
+33.5%
14.2%€135.00€68.00€124.1227
Sep ’23€83.50
€111.50
+33.5%
14.2%€135.00€68.00€129.1226
Aug ’23€91.72
€111.46
+21.5%
14.2%€135.00€68.00€124.2826
Jul ’23€86.79
€122.74
+41.4%
14.3%€150.00€68.00€124.7825
Jun ’23€92.51
€123.80
+33.8%
14.1%€150.00€68.00€121.3426
May ’23€98.21
€124.74
+27.0%
12.6%€150.00€80.50€123.4227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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