Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A.

BIT:IGD Stock Report

Market Cap: €254.3m

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ Valuation

Is IGD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IGD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IGD (€2.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IGD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IGD?

Key metric: As IGD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IGD. This is calculated by dividing IGD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IGD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.7x
Sales€146.76m
Market Cap€254.34m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IGD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IGD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.8x
IPL Investore Property
5.9x-0.9%NZ$448.6m
DIB Dipula Income Fund
3.3x-20.9%R4.7b
CDP Carindale Property Trust
6.6x-9.2%AU$380.6m
PLZ.UN Plaza Retail REIT
3.3x2.9%CA$414.9m
IGD Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ
1.7x-2.2%€254.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IGD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (4.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IGD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IGD 1.7xIndustry Avg. 5.7xNo. of Companies7PS03.26.49.612.816+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IGD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (5.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IGD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IGD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.7x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IGD's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IGD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.31
€2.54
+10.1%
5.5%€2.65€2.30n/a4
Nov ’25€2.53
€2.54
+0.3%
5.5%€2.65€2.30n/a4
Oct ’25€2.52
€2.36
-6.1%
12.6%€2.65€1.90n/a4
Sep ’25€2.50
€2.36
-5.5%
12.6%€2.65€1.90n/a4
Aug ’25€1.97
€2.16
+10.0%
15.6%€2.65€1.80n/a4
Jul ’25€1.77
€2.16
+22.5%
15.6%€2.65€1.80n/a4
Jun ’25€1.95
€2.16
+10.9%
15.6%€2.65€1.80n/a4
May ’25€1.65
€2.39
+45.0%
24.0%€3.20€1.80n/a4
Apr ’25€1.52
€2.39
+57.3%
24.0%€3.20€1.80n/a4
Mar ’25€1.71
€2.58
+51.4%
20.6%€3.20€1.90n/a3
Feb ’25€2.19
€2.68
+22.8%
15.2%€3.20€2.20n/a3
Jan ’25€2.31
€2.66
+15.5%
13.4%€3.20€2.20n/a4
Dec ’24€2.19
€2.85
+30.1%
16.7%€3.40€2.20n/a4
Nov ’24€1.99
€2.85
+43.2%
16.7%€3.40€2.20€2.534
Oct ’24€2.14
€3.00
+40.5%
10.5%€3.40€2.60€2.524
Sep ’24€2.27
€3.00
+32.2%
10.5%€3.40€2.60€2.504
Aug ’24€2.52
€3.28
+30.0%
5.9%€3.50€3.00€1.974
Jul ’24€2.42
€3.28
+35.3%
5.9%€3.50€3.00€1.774
Jun ’24€2.51
€3.28
+30.7%
5.9%€3.50€3.00€1.954
May ’24€2.97
€3.28
+10.3%
5.9%€3.50€3.00€1.654
Apr ’24€2.83
€3.28
+15.7%
5.9%€3.50€3.00€1.524
Mar ’24€2.83
€3.38
+19.3%
3.2%€3.50€3.20€1.714
Feb ’24€2.82
€4.08
+44.8%
20.0%€5.20€3.20€2.194
Jan ’24€3.12
€4.43
+42.1%
12.1%€5.20€3.70€2.314
Dec ’23€3.21
€4.43
+37.9%
12.1%€5.20€3.70€2.194
Nov ’23€2.97
€4.68
+57.7%
7.2%€5.20€4.30€1.994

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies