Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica S.p.A.

BIT:REC Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.3b

Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica Valuation

Is REC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of REC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: REC (€49.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€52.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: REC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for REC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

REC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.7x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does REC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for REC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.9x
PRL Pierrel
30.8xn/a€95.9m
SHE Shedir Pharma Group
7.4x12.2%€41.6m
MANKIND Mankind Pharma
54.2x18.7%₹959.7b
500124 Dr. Reddy's Laboratories
19x2.3%₹992.3b
REC Recordati Industria Chimica e Farmaceutica
26.4x9.0%€10.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: REC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the peer average (27.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does REC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: REC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is REC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

REC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: REC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst REC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€49.86
€50.84
+2.0%
10.4%€57.00€43.00n/a10
Apr ’25€51.24
€50.84
-0.8%
10.4%€57.00€43.00n/a10
Mar ’25€51.96
€50.04
-3.7%
12.1%€57.00€41.00n/a10
Feb ’25€50.96
€48.45
-4.9%
12.3%€57.00€41.00n/a10
Jan ’25€48.83
€48.15
-1.4%
11.6%€56.00€41.00n/a10
Dec ’24€44.19
€48.61
+10.0%
11.7%€56.00€41.00n/a9
Nov ’24€44.13
€47.54
+7.7%
12.5%€56.00€41.00n/a10
Oct ’24€44.71
€47.54
+6.3%
12.5%€56.00€41.00n/a10
Sep ’24€45.79
€46.85
+2.3%
12.9%€56.00€40.00n/a11
Aug ’24€45.98
€46.40
+0.9%
13.2%€56.00€38.00n/a11
Jul ’24€43.75
€45.99
+5.1%
12.2%€54.00€38.00n/a11
Jun ’24€42.56
€45.99
+8.1%
12.2%€54.00€38.00n/a11
May ’24€41.73
€45.20
+8.3%
11.3%€52.00€37.00n/a9
Apr ’24€38.96
€44.98
+15.4%
10.8%€51.00€37.00€51.249
Mar ’24€39.12
€44.74
+14.4%
11.5%€51.00€35.00€51.9611
Feb ’24€39.11
€45.37
+16.0%
10.4%€53.00€39.00€50.9611
Jan ’24€38.75
€44.65
+15.2%
10.2%€53.00€39.00€48.8311
Dec ’23€41.60
€44.80
+7.7%
10.6%€53.00€39.00€44.1910
Nov ’23€38.08
€45.05
+18.3%
9.4%€53.00€39.00€44.1311
Oct ’23€37.69
€45.77
+21.4%
10.0%€53.00€39.00€44.7111
Sep ’23€40.69
€45.77
+12.5%
10.0%€53.00€39.00€45.7911
Aug ’23€43.23
€45.77
+5.9%
10.0%€53.00€39.00€45.9811
Jul ’23€43.04
€46.38
+7.8%
10.3%€53.00€39.00€43.7511
Jun ’23€40.76
€46.62
+14.4%
10.6%€53.00€39.00€42.5610
May ’23€45.99
€47.24
+2.7%
10.0%€55.00€40.00€41.7310
Apr ’23€46.11
€47.64
+3.3%
11.0%€56.00€40.00€38.9610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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