Stock Analysis

Is MFE-Mediaforeurope (BIT:MFEB) A Risky Investment?

BIT:MFEB
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. (BIT:MFEB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for MFE-Mediaforeurope

What Is MFE-Mediaforeurope's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that MFE-Mediaforeurope had €981.7m of debt in December 2023, down from €1.32b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €175.3m, its net debt is less, at about €806.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:MFEB Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024

How Strong Is MFE-Mediaforeurope's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MFE-Mediaforeurope had liabilities of €1.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €964.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €175.3m as well as receivables valued at €987.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €971.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since MFE-Mediaforeurope has a market capitalization of €1.98b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

MFE-Mediaforeurope's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 12.0 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably MFE-Mediaforeurope's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MFE-Mediaforeurope can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, MFE-Mediaforeurope actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

MFE-Mediaforeurope's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that MFE-Mediaforeurope can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that MFE-Mediaforeurope is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.