Zignago Vetro Valuation

Is ZV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZV (€9.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZV?

Key metric: As ZV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZV. This is calculated by dividing ZV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
Earnings€59.03m
Market Cap€873.27m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
CALT Caltagirone
5.5xn/a€754.4m
CEM Cementir Holding
9.8x6.8%€1.7b
SOL SOL
22.5x9.0%€3.2b
FUM Franchi Umberto Marmi
15.2x8.9%€183.9m
ZV Zignago Vetro
14.6x16.4%€864.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ZV 14.6xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.78
€12.70
+29.9%
5.4%€13.70€11.80n/a4
Nov ’25€10.50
€13.75
+31.0%
5.7%€14.50€12.50n/a4
Oct ’25€10.92
€13.75
+25.9%
5.7%€14.50€12.50n/a4
Sep ’25€11.00
€13.75
+25.0%
5.7%€14.50€12.50n/a4
Aug ’25€11.06
€14.38
+30.0%
3.2%€15.00€13.70n/a4
Jul ’25€11.82
€14.98
+26.7%
4.2%€16.00€14.40n/a4
Jun ’25€12.06
€16.98
+40.8%
23.9%€25.00€14.40n/a5
May ’25€12.52
€17.58
+40.4%
21.9%€25.00€14.40n/a5
Apr ’25€13.26
€17.90
+35.0%
20.6%€25.00€15.00n/a5
Mar ’25€13.28
€18.62
+40.2%
19.3%€25.00€15.00n/a5
Feb ’25€13.50
€19.32
+43.1%
16.2%€25.00€15.80n/a5
Jan ’25€14.26
€19.32
+35.5%
16.2%€25.00€15.80n/a5
Dec ’24€13.56
€19.32
+42.5%
16.2%€25.00€15.80n/a5
Nov ’24€12.36
€20.60
+66.7%
11.4%€24.50€18.50€10.504
Oct ’24€14.18
€20.60
+45.3%
11.4%€24.50€18.50€10.924
Sep ’24€16.04
€20.60
+28.4%
11.4%€24.50€18.50€11.004
Aug ’24€16.40
€20.48
+24.8%
12.1%€24.50€18.00€11.064
Jul ’24€15.62
€19.98
+27.9%
8.5%€22.50€18.00€11.824
Jun ’24€15.58
€19.98
+28.2%
9.3%€22.50€17.00€12.065
May ’24€16.84
€19.28
+14.5%
6.5%€20.50€17.00€12.525
Apr ’24€17.96
€19.28
+7.3%
6.5%€20.50€17.00€13.265
Mar ’24€17.54
€17.64
+0.6%
7.8%€20.00€16.00€13.285
Feb ’24€15.60
€16.00
+2.6%
5.6%€17.00€15.00€13.505
Jan ’24€14.10
€15.50
+9.9%
5.8%€17.00€14.50€14.265
Dec ’23€14.24
€15.50
+8.8%
5.8%€17.00€14.50€13.565
Nov ’23€12.60
€14.90
+18.3%
4.9%€15.60€13.90€12.364

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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