Cementir Holding Valuation

Is CEM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CEM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CEM (€11.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CEM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CEM?

Key metric: As CEM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CEM. This is calculated by dividing CEM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CEM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
Earnings€170.50m
Market Cap€1.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CEM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CEM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
CALT Caltagirone
5.5xn/a€759.2m
BZU Buzzi
7.9x1.0%€7.5b
FUM Franchi Umberto Marmi
15x9.2%€183.9m
SOL SOL
23.8x9.0%€3.3b
CEM Cementir Holding
10.3x6.8%€1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CEM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CEM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CEM 10.1xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CEM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CEM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CEM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio15.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CEM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CEM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.24
€12.48
+11.0%
12.1%€14.25€10.40n/a6
Nov ’25€9.59
€12.07
+25.8%
11.0%€13.50€10.40n/a6
Oct ’25€9.64
€12.07
+25.2%
11.0%€13.50€10.40n/a6
Sep ’25€9.86
€12.07
+22.4%
11.0%€13.50€10.40n/a6
Aug ’25€9.91
€12.02
+21.3%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
Jul ’25€9.53
€12.02
+26.1%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
Jun ’25€10.08
€12.02
+19.2%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
May ’25€9.94
€12.02
+20.9%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
Apr ’25€10.48
€12.02
+14.7%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
Mar ’25€9.32
€12.02
+28.9%
11.6%€13.50€10.10n/a6
Feb ’25€9.82
€11.77
+19.9%
13.8%€13.50€9.80n/a5
Jan ’25€9.54
€11.47
+20.2%
13.1%€13.50€9.80n/a5
Dec ’24€8.92
€10.77
+20.7%
10.9%€12.75€9.80n/a5
Nov ’24€8.01
€10.32
+28.8%
9.7%€11.50€9.30€9.595
Oct ’24€7.50
€10.70
+42.7%
11.6%€12.60€9.30€9.646
Sep ’24€8.11
€10.70
+31.9%
11.6%€12.60€9.30€9.866
Aug ’24€8.51
€10.70
+25.7%
11.6%€12.60€9.30€9.916
Jul ’24€7.42
€10.00
+34.8%
9.3%€11.50€9.00€9.536
Jun ’24€7.18
€9.96
+38.7%
9.1%€11.50€9.00€10.086
May ’24€7.61
€9.91
+30.2%
9.7%€11.50€8.80€9.946
Apr ’24€7.89
€9.91
+25.6%
9.7%€11.50€8.80€10.486
Mar ’24€8.24
€9.91
+20.2%
9.7%€11.50€8.80€9.326
Feb ’24€7.34
€8.75
+19.2%
11.0%€10.00€7.40€9.826
Jan ’24€6.14
€8.67
+41.2%
11.5%€10.00€7.40€9.546
Dec ’23€6.16
€8.67
+40.7%
11.5%€10.00€7.40€8.926
Nov ’23€5.96
€9.28
+55.8%
12.0%€11.00€7.80€8.016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies