Stock Analysis

Here's Why Industrie Chimiche Forestali (BIT:ICF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

BIT:ICF
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Industrie Chimiche Forestali S.p.A. (BIT:ICF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Industrie Chimiche Forestali

How Much Debt Does Industrie Chimiche Forestali Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Industrie Chimiche Forestali had €6.85m of debt in June 2024, down from €11.6m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €5.51m, its net debt is less, at about €1.34m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:ICF Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024

A Look At Industrie Chimiche Forestali's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Industrie Chimiche Forestali had liabilities of €25.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €15.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €5.51m as well as receivables valued at €24.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €10.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Industrie Chimiche Forestali has a market capitalization of €33.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Industrie Chimiche Forestali's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.16 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 2.6 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The bad news is that Industrie Chimiche Forestali saw its EBIT decline by 11% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Industrie Chimiche Forestali can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Industrie Chimiche Forestali actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Both Industrie Chimiche Forestali's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its interest cover had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Industrie Chimiche Forestali is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Industrie Chimiche Forestali has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BIT:ICF

Industrie Chimiche Forestali

Designs, manufactures, and markets adhesives and fabrics for automotive, footwear, leather goods, upholstered furniture, packaging, boating, and cement markets in Italy and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.