K+S Valuation

Is 1SDF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1SDF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1SDF (€11.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1SDF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1SDF?

Key metric: As 1SDF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1SDF. This is calculated by dividing 1SDF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1SDF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio79.2x
Earnings€25.60m
Market Cap€2.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1SDF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1SDF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
SOL SOL
23.8x9.0%€3.4b
CEM Cementir Holding
10.1x6.8%€1.7b
ZV Zignago Vetro
14.5x16.4%€857.4m
CALT Caltagirone
5.5xn/a€761.6m
79.2x61.1%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1SDF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1SDF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1SDF 79.2xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1SDF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1SDF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1SDF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio79.2x
Fair PE Ratio46.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1SDF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1SDF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.30
€11.51
+1.9%
24.9%€17.50€7.50n/a16
Nov ’25€11.25
€12.40
+10.2%
25.5%€18.00€7.50n/a17
Oct ’25€11.45
€13.14
+14.8%
25.1%€19.00€7.50n/a17
Sep ’25€10.69
€13.42
+25.6%
25.3%€19.00€7.50n/a17
Aug ’25€11.83
€14.61
+23.6%
20.8%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Jul ’25€12.65
€15.24
+20.5%
18.2%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Jun ’25€13.51
€15.31
+13.3%
17.5%€20.00€10.00n/a17
May ’25€14.02
€15.46
+10.3%
17.2%€20.00€10.00n/a17
Apr ’25€14.46
€15.55
+7.5%
16.9%€20.00€10.00n/a16
Mar ’25€13.17
€16.69
+26.8%
20.6%€23.00€11.00n/a16
Feb ’25€12.74
€16.69
+31.0%
20.6%€23.00€11.00n/a16
Jan ’25€16.29
€18.01
+10.5%
17.1%€23.00€13.00n/a16
Dec ’24€13.67
€18.21
+33.2%
15.7%€23.00€13.00n/a16
Nov ’24€15.56
€19.45
+25.0%
15.7%€25.00€16.00€11.2516
Oct ’24€16.88
€19.64
+16.4%
16.3%€25.00€15.00€11.4516
Sep ’24€18.17
€19.64
+8.1%
16.3%€25.00€15.00€10.6916
Aug ’24€17.50
€19.18
+9.7%
15.9%€25.00€15.00€11.8316
Jul ’24€15.78
€20.07
+27.2%
15.8%€26.00€16.00€12.6516
Jun ’24€15.00
€20.76
+38.4%
17.6%€27.00€16.70€13.5116
May ’24€17.95
€23.58
+31.3%
17.2%€30.00€17.00€14.0216
Apr ’24€19.23
€24.09
+25.3%
15.7%€30.00€17.00€14.4616
Mar ’24€22.80
€25.13
+10.2%
15.7%€35.00€19.90€13.1715
Feb ’24€21.38
€25.26
+18.1%
16.0%€35.00€19.90€12.7415
Jan ’24€18.65
€25.89
+38.8%
15.2%€35.00€20.30€16.2915
Dec ’23€21.10
€25.59
+21.3%
15.3%€35.00€20.30€13.6714
Nov ’23€23.28
€27.47
+18.0%
19.8%€38.00€21.00€15.5615

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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