MP Materials Corp.

BIT:1MP Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.9b

MP Materials Valuation

Is 1MP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 1MP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: 1MP (€55.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€13.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1MP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1MP?

Key metric: As 1MP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1MP. This is calculated by dividing 1MP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1MP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio49.8x
SalesUS$232.74m
Market CapUS$11.58b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1MP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1MP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
BZU Buzzi
2.2x3.71%€9.9b
PLS PLS Group
20.4x18.48%AU$15.4b
SOL SOL
2.6x6.97%€4.5b
LYC Lynas Rare Earths
27.2x26.84%AU$14.9b
1MP MP Materials
49.8x31.84%€11.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1MP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.8x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1MP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

67 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1MP 49.8xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies67PS0246810+
67 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1MP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.8x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1MP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1MP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio49.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1MP's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1MP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€55.40
€67.91
+22.59%
8.07%€80.66€59.21n/a14
Jan ’27€43.80
€67.46
+54.01%
7.80%€79.98€60.41n/a14
Dec ’26€52.40
€68.64
+30.99%
8.15%€81.56€59.44n/a14
Nov ’26n/a
€69.34
0%
13.61%€96.23€58.43n/a12
Oct ’26n/a
€66.66
0%
8.27%€77.18€55.74n/a11
Sep ’26n/a
€61.55
0%
20.11%€72.67€27.36n/a10
Aug ’26n/a
€49.05
0%
27.93%€69.09€25.91n/a10
Jul ’26n/a
€25.87
0%
23.96%€36.46€15.63n/a10
Jun ’26n/a
€23.52
0%
17.81%€28.19€15.85n/a10
May ’26n/a
€23.56
0%
15.48%€28.34€18.60n/a11
Apr ’26n/a
€24.44
0%
13.52%€29.64€20.01n/a12
Mar ’26n/a
€24.10
0%
12.49%€28.68€20.65n/a12
Feb ’26n/a
€22.63
0%
13.45%€28.83€17.30n/a12
Jan ’26n/a
€21.97
0%
14.37%€28.55€17.13€43.8012
Dec ’25n/a
€20.99
0%
16.52%€28.40€15.14€52.4012
Nov ’25n/a
€19.24
0%
20.70%€27.74€11.56n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
€20.14
0%
37.18%€40.65€11.29n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
€19.22
0%
39.57%€40.32€11.20n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
€20.70
0%
37.04%€41.47€12.44n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
€22.39
0%
34.89%€42.13€12.64n/a11
Jun ’25n/a
€22.46
0%
33.65%€41.79€13.46n/a11
May ’25n/a
€22.63
0%
33.36%€42.04€14.01n/a11
Apr ’25n/a
€22.80
0%
30.61%€41.42€14.27n/a11
Mar ’25n/a
€24.88
0%
28.07%€41.47€15.67n/a11
Feb ’25n/a
€26.51
0%
28.53%€41.40€12.88n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
€27.78
0%
23.80%€41.67€16.67n/a12
€67.1
Fair Value
17.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/13 12:18
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MP Materials Corp. is covered by 19 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KalloBaird
Subhasish ChandraBenchmark Company
Gregory JonesBMO Capital Markets Equity Research