BASF Valuation

Is 1BAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1BAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1BAS (€42.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€126.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1BAS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1BAS?

Key metric: As 1BAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1BAS. This is calculated by dividing 1BAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1BAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio76.9x
Earnings€497.00m
Market Cap€38.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1BAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1BAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
BZU Buzzi
7.8x1.3%€7.5b
SOL SOL
22.9x9.0%€3.2b
PIDILITIND Pidilite Industries
79.8x13.7%₹1.5t
600989 Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group
18.9x37.6%CN¥118.9b
1BAS BASF
76.9x34.2%€38.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1BAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1BAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1BAS 76.9xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1BAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1BAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1BAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio76.9x
Fair PE Ratio37.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1BAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1BAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€42.65
€53.38
+25.2%
9.8%€65.00€47.00n/a21
Nov ’25€45.49
€52.52
+15.5%
11.3%€65.00€43.00n/a21
Oct ’25€46.81
€52.25
+11.6%
13.0%€65.00€42.00n/a20
Sep ’25€45.98
€53.21
+15.7%
13.7%€70.00€42.00n/a19
Aug ’25€42.26
€53.84
+27.4%
13.1%€70.00€42.00n/a19
Jul ’25€44.47
€54.74
+23.1%
12.9%€72.00€43.00n/a19
Jun ’25€48.26
€55.74
+15.5%
12.1%€72.00€43.00n/a19
May ’25€49.33
€55.68
+12.9%
12.1%€72.00€43.00n/a19
Apr ’25€52.86
€52.70
-0.3%
13.3%€63.00€41.00n/a20
Mar ’25€47.88
€50.15
+4.8%
13.3%€62.00€39.00n/a20
Feb ’25€44.11
€48.89
+10.9%
13.8%€62.00€39.00n/a19
Jan ’25€49.20
€50.26
+2.2%
12.1%€62.00€39.00n/a19
Dec ’24€43.24
€48.98
+13.3%
13.7%€62.00€39.00n/a21
Nov ’24€42.18
€49.12
+16.5%
13.1%€62.00€37.00€45.4921
Oct ’24€42.89
€50.90
+18.7%
13.4%€64.00€37.00€46.8121
Sep ’24€46.99
€51.32
+9.2%
12.3%€64.00€40.00€45.9821
Aug ’24€48.54
€51.46
+6.0%
12.2%€64.00€40.00€42.2621
Jul ’24€44.56
€53.61
+20.3%
15.1%€75.00€43.00€44.4722
Jun ’24€44.88
€54.05
+20.4%
17.0%€75.00€31.03€48.2622
May ’24€46.87
€53.86
+14.9%
16.5%€72.00€31.03€49.3322
Apr ’24€48.41
€53.77
+11.1%
16.0%€68.00€31.03€52.8622
Mar ’24€48.50
€54.14
+11.6%
15.6%€68.00€31.03€47.8822
Feb ’24€52.62
€53.50
+1.7%
15.7%€68.00€31.03€44.1122
Jan ’24€46.50
€53.84
+15.8%
17.2%€72.00€31.03€49.2023
Dec ’23€47.81
€54.06
+13.1%
18.0%€75.00€31.03€43.2423
Nov ’23€45.37
€53.20
+17.3%
17.3%€75.00€31.03€42.1823

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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