GPI Valuation

Is GPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GPI (€11.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GPI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPI?

Key metric: As GPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GPI. This is calculated by dividing GPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.2x
Earnings€8.93m
Market Cap€323.83m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
GHC Garofalo Health Care
25x11.0%€522.5m
ELN EL.En
19x8.3%€974.4m
SRI Servizi Italia
14.7x16.9%€68.7m
3733 Software Service
12.5x9.1%JP¥71.5b
GPI GPI
36.2x35.2%€323.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.2x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GPI 36.2xIndustry Avg. 18.6xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.2x) compared to the European Healthcare Services industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.2x
Fair PE Ratio26.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.24
€16.57
+47.4%
11.3%€19.10€14.60n/a3
Nov ’25€11.82
€16.57
+40.2%
11.3%€19.10€14.60n/a3
Oct ’25€12.98
€16.57
+27.6%
11.3%€19.10€14.60n/a3
Sep ’25€12.00
€16.37
+36.4%
9.9%€18.50€14.60n/a3
Aug ’25€12.06
€16.37
+35.7%
9.9%€18.50€14.60n/a3
Jul ’25€12.40
€16.37
+32.0%
9.9%€18.50€14.60n/a3
Jun ’25€12.30
€16.37
+33.1%
9.9%€18.50€14.60n/a3
May ’25€12.52
€16.30
+30.2%
10.0%€18.50€14.60n/a3
Apr ’25€12.12
€15.20
+25.4%
14.2%€17.50€12.30n/a3
Mar ’25€11.36
€15.20
+33.8%
14.2%€17.50€12.30n/a3
Feb ’25€9.31
€15.20
+63.3%
14.2%€17.50€12.30n/a3
Jan ’25€9.97
€15.20
+52.5%
14.2%€17.50€12.30n/a3
Dec ’24€8.00
€15.20
+90.0%
14.2%€17.50€12.30n/a3
Nov ’24€7.53
€15.20
+101.9%
14.2%€17.50€12.30€11.823
Oct ’24€8.95
€16.83
+88.1%
4.4%€17.50€15.80€12.983
Sep ’24€9.84
€16.83
+71.1%
4.4%€17.50€15.80€12.003
Aug ’24€10.90
€16.77
+53.8%
4.1%€17.30€15.80€12.063
Jul ’24€11.70
€16.77
+43.3%
4.1%€17.30€15.80€12.403
Jun ’24€11.32
€16.77
+48.1%
4.1%€17.30€15.80€12.303
May ’24€12.12
€17.33
+43.0%
0.7%€17.50€17.20€12.523
Apr ’24€12.80
€17.43
+36.2%
0.5%€17.50€17.30€12.123
Mar ’24€13.26
€17.63
+33.0%
1.1%€17.90€17.50€11.363
Feb ’24€14.38
€18.03
+25.4%
4.2%€19.10€17.50€9.313
Jan ’24€14.46
€18.03
+24.7%
4.2%€19.10€17.50€9.973
Dec ’23€13.62
€17.97
+31.9%
4.5%€19.10€17.30€8.003
Nov ’23€13.40
€18.47
+37.8%
8.2%€20.60€17.30€7.533

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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