Newlat Food S.p.A. (BIT:NWL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 101% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Newlat Food as a stock to avoid entirely with its 39.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Newlat Food certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Newlat Food
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Newlat Food.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Newlat Food's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 15% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 66% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 73% per year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 17% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Newlat Food's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Newlat Food's P/E?
Newlat Food's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Newlat Food's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Newlat Food is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:NWL
Newlat Food
Operates in the agri-food sector in Italy, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Undervalued with proven track record.