Tyson Foods Valuation

Is 1TSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1TSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€144.11
Fair Value
65.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1TSN (€49.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€144.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1TSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1TSN?

Key metric: As 1TSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1TSN. This is calculated by dividing 1TSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1TSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.6x
EarningsUS$914.00m
Market CapUS$19.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1TSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1TSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
NWL Newlat Food
4.8x-24.9%€758.6m
VLS Valsoia
15.4x4.8%€127.8m
MS Misitano & Stracuzzi
9x4.7%€80.1m
CPR Davide Campari-Milano
35.1x18.8%€7.1b
1TSN Tyson Foods
21.6x24.3%€19.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1TSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1TSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1TSN 21.6xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies20PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1TSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1TSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1TSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1TSN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1TSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€49.35
€58.68
+18.9%
11.6%€71.09€51.54n/a13
May ’26€53.86
€58.94
+9.4%
10.5%€70.02€50.77n/a13
Apr ’26n/a
€62.35
0%
10.7%€74.15€53.76n/a13
Mar ’26n/a
€64.88
0%
10.7%€77.17€55.95n/a13
Feb ’26n/a
€63.30
0%
11.7%€76.80€52.80n/a13
Jan ’26n/a
€63.29
0%
11.9%€76.13€52.34n/a12
Dec ’25n/a
€62.10
0%
10.7%€75.76€52.09n/a12
Nov ’25n/a
€58.55
0%
13.9%€73.48€45.93n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
€57.62
0%
13.8%€71.85€44.91n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
€58.66
0%
12.5%€73.22€46.68n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
€57.67
0%
12.8%€73.87€47.09n/a11
Jul ’25n/a
€58.33
0%
12.7%€74.50€47.50n/a11
Jun ’25n/a
€59.04
0%
13.3%€77.17€47.41n/a12
May ’25n/a
€58.06
0%
14.4%€77.59€44.87€53.8613
Apr ’25n/a
€55.47
0%
15.7%€76.70€44.36n/a13
Mar ’25n/a
€55.47
0%
15.7%€76.70€44.36n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
€51.24
0%
18.7%€75.44€39.56n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
€49.92
0%
21.0%€75.11€39.39n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
€52.11
0%
25.0%€74.93€39.29n/a12
Nov ’24n/a
€57.19
0%
21.6%€80.37€42.55n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
€57.78
0%
20.4%€80.48€45.45n/a13
Sep ’24n/a
€55.19
0%
19.8%€77.55€43.80n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
€54.54
0%
21.3%€75.60€42.69n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
€57.31
0%
22.9%€89.36€44.68n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
€56.61
0%
22.6%€89.22€44.61n/a11
May ’24n/a
€63.28
0%
18.2%€93.47€50.82n/a11
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
€58.92
Fair Value
16.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/11 10:21
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/29
Annual Earnings2024/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tyson Foods, Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Benjamin TheurerBarclays