Davide Campari-Milano N.V.

BIT:CPR Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.1b

Davide Campari-Milano Valuation

Is CPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPR (€9.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CPR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.1x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CPR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
IWB Italian Wine Brands
14.9x16.0%€177.3m
603369 Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd
24.2x20.1%CN¥74.0b
MCDOWELL-N United Spirits
63.5x15.6%₹805.4b
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery
32x18.2%CN¥119.4b
CPR Davide Campari-Milano
33.6x14.7%€11.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CPR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CPR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.6x
Fair PE Ratio27.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CPR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.31
€10.33
+10.9%
11.7%€12.20€7.80n/a20
Mar ’25€9.47
€10.52
+11.0%
13.0%€13.50€7.80n/a21
Feb ’25€9.39
€10.84
+15.5%
13.0%€13.50€8.20n/a21
Jan ’25€10.22
€11.36
+11.2%
13.0%€13.50€8.30n/a21
Dec ’24€10.02
€11.45
+14.3%
12.7%€13.50€8.30n/a21
Nov ’24€10.37
€11.61
+11.9%
10.8%€13.50€8.75n/a21
Oct ’24€11.17
€12.30
+10.1%
13.6%€14.30€8.10n/a21
Sep ’24€12.00
€12.25
+2.1%
13.7%€14.30€8.10n/a22
Aug ’24€12.32
€12.27
-0.4%
13.8%€14.30€8.10n/a22
Jul ’24€12.69
€12.46
-1.9%
11.5%€14.30€9.00n/a20
Jun ’24€12.46
€12.46
-0.04%
11.5%€14.30€9.00n/a20
May ’24€11.68
€11.73
+0.4%
12.3%€14.00€8.30n/a20
Apr ’24€11.25
€11.64
+3.4%
12.1%€14.00€8.20n/a20
Mar ’24€10.46
€11.67
+11.6%
12.1%€14.00€8.20€9.4721
Feb ’24€9.89
€11.36
+14.9%
13.5%€14.00€8.00€9.3921
Jan ’24€9.48
€11.44
+20.7%
13.2%€15.00€8.00€10.2221
Dec ’23€10.08
€11.40
+13.2%
13.5%€15.00€8.00€10.0221
Nov ’23€9.21
€11.52
+25.1%
13.7%€15.00€8.00€10.3721
Oct ’23€9.11
€11.59
+27.2%
13.9%€15.00€7.70€11.1722
Sep ’23€9.67
€11.83
+22.3%
13.9%€15.00€7.70€12.0022
Aug ’23€10.62
€11.76
+10.8%
13.5%€14.30€7.70€12.3222
Jul ’23€9.96
€11.62
+16.7%
14.3%€14.30€7.10€12.6921
Jun ’23€9.75
€11.69
+19.9%
14.1%€14.30€7.10€12.4621
May ’23€10.79
€11.24
+4.2%
14.0%€14.30€7.10€11.6821
Apr ’23€10.73
€11.16
+4.0%
14.7%€14.30€7.10€11.2521
Mar ’23€9.31
€11.67
+25.3%
12.1%€14.30€9.00€10.4620

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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