Expand Energy Corporation

BIT:1EXE Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.4b

Expand Energy Valuation

Is 1EXE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1EXE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1EXE (€94.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€229.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1EXE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1EXE?

Key metric: As 1EXE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1EXE. This is calculated by dividing 1EXE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1EXE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.4x
EarningsUS$867.00m
Market CapUS$26.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1EXE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1EXE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.9x
ENI Eni
18.1x15.32%€48.2b
TEN Tenaris
10.2x-3.07%€17.6b
EQT EQT
19.3x19.81%US$34.7b
CTRA Coterra Energy
12.2x9.15%US$20.0b
1EXE Expand Energy
31x24.44%€26.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1EXE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1EXE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1EXE 30.4xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1EXE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1EXE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1EXE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1EXE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1EXE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€90.88
€113.32
+24.69%
11.91%€137.88€73.19n/a28
Dec ’26€104.70
€112.69
+7.63%
11.39%€139.55€74.08n/a28
Nov ’26€88.98
€112.56
+26.50%
11.11%€140.54€74.61n/a28
Oct ’26€93.10
€109.40
+17.51%
12.49%€131.24€70.73n/a27
Sep ’26€82.80
€114.36
+38.12%
11.79%€145.50€83.88n/a26
Aug ’26€88.74
€115.47
+30.12%
10.43%€146.81€93.27n/a27
Jul ’26€95.16
€111.24
+16.90%
10.53%€144.19€89.06n/a27
Jun ’26€102.15
€112.81
+10.43%
10.52%€149.74€92.48n/a27
May ’26€90.92
€109.18
+20.08%
10.52%€150.57€88.57n/a26
Apr ’26n/a
€115.22
0%
15.18%€157.57€78.79n/a26
Mar ’26n/a
€115.55
0%
11.65%€144.63€87.74n/a25
Feb ’26n/a
€112.56
0%
12.24%€140.85€82.96n/a25
Jan ’26n/a
€103.39
0%
10.36%€123.00€82.64n/a20
Dec ’25n/a
€99.81
0%
10.24%€121.96€81.94€104.7020
Nov ’25n/a
€93.22
0%
11.67%€118.12€76.59€88.9820
Oct ’25n/a
€86.56
0%
11.84%€108.41€70.47€93.1019
Sep ’25n/a
€92.85
0%
9.05%€106.16€80.07€82.8017
Aug ’25n/a
€97.10
0%
7.81%€109.15€86.03€88.7417
Jul ’25n/a
€98.33
0%
7.37%€109.32€86.90€95.1615
Jun ’25n/a
€97.16
0%
7.09%€108.04€85.88€102.1516
May ’25n/a
€97.65
0%
8.00%€109.43€86.98€90.9215
Apr ’25n/a
€93.23
0%
10.31%€110.31€79.72n/a14
Mar ’25n/a
€92.71
0%
10.74%€109.81€79.36n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
€93.84
0%
11.09%€111.47€82.91n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€93.90
0%
17.31%€129.34€73.38n/a19
Dec ’24n/a
€96.91
0%
14.62%€129.55€80.85n/a19
€109.46
Fair Value
17.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/16 21:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/16 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Expand Energy Corporation is covered by 55 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Michael HallBaird
Wei JiangBarclays