Coterra Energy Valuation

Is CTRA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTRA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTRA ($27.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTRA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTRA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CTRA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.4x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTRA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTRA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
TPL Texas Pacific Land
43.7x15.0%US$18.9b
MRO Marathon Oil
11.3x-1.7%US$16.1b
DVN Devon Energy
9x1.6%US$30.2b
EQT EQT
25.5x36.0%US$15.8b
CTRA Coterra Energy
15.7x18.9%US$20.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTRA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (22.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTRA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTRA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTRA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.7x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CTRA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTRA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$27.37
US$33.98
+24.1%
10.2%US$41.00US$29.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$26.54
US$33.90
+27.7%
10.2%US$41.00US$29.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$28.52
US$33.73
+18.3%
11.1%US$41.00US$28.41n/a24
May ’25US$26.91
US$32.62
+21.2%
10.0%US$39.00US$27.00n/a26
Apr ’25US$28.01
US$31.36
+12.0%
10.8%US$39.00US$25.00n/a25
Mar ’25US$25.96
US$30.86
+18.9%
11.0%US$39.00US$25.00n/a27
Feb ’25US$24.62
US$30.95
+25.7%
11.1%US$39.00US$26.00n/a26
Jan ’25US$25.52
US$31.83
+24.7%
13.3%US$42.00US$26.00n/a26
Dec ’24US$26.14
US$32.76
+25.3%
12.8%US$42.00US$27.00n/a25
Nov ’24US$27.55
US$32.36
+17.5%
13.3%US$42.00US$26.00n/a25
Oct ’24US$27.05
US$31.88
+17.8%
13.8%US$42.00US$26.00n/a24
Sep ’24US$28.46
US$31.75
+11.6%
14.0%US$42.00US$26.00n/a24
Aug ’24US$27.60
US$29.88
+8.3%
13.1%US$39.00US$25.00n/a25
Jul ’24US$25.30
US$30.24
+19.5%
13.2%US$39.00US$25.00US$26.5425
Jun ’24US$22.97
US$30.40
+32.3%
13.2%US$39.00US$25.00US$28.5225
May ’24US$25.44
US$30.08
+18.2%
13.1%US$38.00US$23.00US$26.9126
Apr ’24US$24.54
US$29.31
+19.4%
14.8%US$38.00US$21.00US$28.0125
Mar ’24US$25.24
US$30.20
+19.7%
15.2%US$40.00US$23.00US$25.9625
Feb ’24US$24.54
US$30.62
+24.8%
15.8%US$41.00US$23.00US$24.6226
Jan ’24US$24.57
US$33.80
+37.6%
18.0%US$48.00US$23.00US$25.5225
Dec ’23US$27.43
US$35.76
+30.4%
16.0%US$48.00US$28.00US$26.1425
Nov ’23US$30.75
US$36.00
+17.1%
15.7%US$51.00US$28.00US$27.5526
Oct ’23US$26.12
US$36.83
+41.0%
19.5%US$54.00US$26.00US$27.0523
Sep ’23US$30.23
US$36.36
+20.3%
18.2%US$54.00US$26.00US$28.4625
Aug ’23US$29.57
US$35.96
+21.6%
15.4%US$46.00US$26.00US$27.6025
Jul ’23US$26.33
US$37.92
+44.0%
16.1%US$53.00US$27.00US$25.3025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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