Expedia Group, Inc.

BIT:1EXPE Stock Report

Market Cap: €18.0b

Expedia Group Valuation

Is 1EXPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1EXPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€374.90
Fair Value
62.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
34
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1EXPE (€139.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€374.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1EXPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1EXPE?

Key metric: As 1EXPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1EXPE. This is calculated by dividing 1EXPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1EXPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.3x
EarningsUS$1.17b
Market CapUS$20.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1EXPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1EXPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.7x
LTMC Lottomatica Group
49.5x31.26%€6.0b
IGV I Grandi Viaggi
30.2xn/a€88.8m
VIK Viking Holdings
66.3x29.78%US$19.1b
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
28.6x11.61%UK£13.3b
1EXPE Expedia Group
17.3x14.73%€20.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (43.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1EXPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1EXPE 17.3xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies24PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (18.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1EXPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1EXPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.3x
Fair PE Ratio31.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1EXPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€139.76
€166.99
+19.48%
15.87%€256.97€119.62n/a34
May ’26€136.20
€177.24
+30.13%
15.64%€254.85€125.67n/a34
Apr ’26€152.26
€194.62
+27.82%
10.79%€265.55€160.25n/a34
Mar ’26€187.92
€202.17
+7.58%
11.19%€277.10€155.75n/a33
Feb ’26€165.14
€184.48
+11.71%
10.61%€226.65€142.14n/a34
Jan ’26€176.76
€181.62
+2.75%
10.20%€215.64€141.84n/a34
Dec ’25€175.96
€177.92
+1.11%
10.87%€214.76€138.40n/a33
Nov ’25€147.16
€142.55
-3.13%
13.45%€185.28€109.32n/a32
Oct ’25€130.88
€134.13
+2.48%
13.99%€179.12€105.68n/a33
Sep ’25€125.70
€133.60
+6.28%
14.18%€179.32€105.80n/a31
Aug ’25€113.44
€136.33
+20.18%
14.33%€185.00€109.15n/a31
Jul ’25€114.48
€137.55
+20.15%
14.52%€186.70€110.15n/a31
Jun ’25€101.80
€134.99
+32.60%
15.08%€184.68€101.57n/a32
May ’25€126.36
€151.31
+19.75%
12.26%€186.54€121.25€136.2033
Apr ’25€128.14
€149.40
+16.59%
12.21%€184.08€119.65€152.2633
Mar ’25€125.98
€151.02
+19.87%
12.12%€185.62€120.65€187.9233
Feb ’25€135.36
€145.51
+7.50%
15.69%€184.66€106.18€165.1433
Jan ’25€138.74
€128.11
-7.66%
19.83%€181.16€81.52€176.7632
Dec ’24€128.00
€122.92
-3.97%
19.64%€182.28€82.03€175.9632
Nov ’24€89.02
€118.46
+33.08%
18.98%€188.38€84.77€147.1632
Oct ’24€98.02
€118.58
+20.97%
19.13%€187.18€84.23€130.8830
Sep ’24€101.40
€118.58
+16.94%
19.85%€183.32€82.49€125.7030
Aug ’24€109.36
€120.16
+9.87%
19.12%€181.88€81.85€113.4431
Jul ’24€100.20
€118.61
+18.38%
20.46%€183.28€82.48€114.4830
Jun ’24€91.60
€118.87
+29.77%
19.28%€162.47€83.56€101.8027
May ’24€84.92
€120.18
+41.52%
17.15%€159.51€82.04€126.3627
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 34 Analysts
€165.67
Fair Value
15.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
34
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/23 01:25
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/23 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Expedia Group, Inc. is covered by 73 analysts. 32 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Edward WooAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Michael BellisarioBaird