Stock Analysis

We Think Vincenzo Zucchi (BIT:ZUC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

BIT:ZUC
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Vincenzo Zucchi S.p.A. (BIT:ZUC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Vincenzo Zucchi

What Is Vincenzo Zucchi's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Vincenzo Zucchi had debt of €18.7m, up from €14.7m in one year. However, it does have €12.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €5.74m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:ZUC Debt to Equity History October 4th 2022

How Strong Is Vincenzo Zucchi's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vincenzo Zucchi had liabilities of €42.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of €50.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €12.9m as well as receivables valued at €23.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €55.7m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €57.8m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Vincenzo Zucchi's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Vincenzo Zucchi's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.49 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.0 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We saw Vincenzo Zucchi grow its EBIT by 5.2% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vincenzo Zucchi will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Vincenzo Zucchi's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Neither Vincenzo Zucchi's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Vincenzo Zucchi's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Vincenzo Zucchi (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.