Stock Analysis

Sanlorenzo S.p.A.'s (BIT:SL) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

BIT:SL
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Sanlorenzo's (BIT:SL) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Sanlorenzo's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Sanlorenzo

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sanlorenzo is:

24% = €99m ÷ €415m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.24 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Sanlorenzo's Earnings Growth And 24% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Sanlorenzo has a significantly high ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 24% the company's ROE is pretty decent. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the impressive five year 29% net income growth seen by Sanlorenzo was probably achieved as a result of the high ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Sanlorenzo's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 15% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
BIT:SL Past Earnings Growth January 14th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for SL? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Sanlorenzo Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Sanlorenzo's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 33%, meaning the company retains 67% of its income. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Sanlorenzo is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Besides, Sanlorenzo has been paying dividends over a period of four years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 37%. However, Sanlorenzo's future ROE is expected to decline to 19% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Sanlorenzo's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.