Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Pattern S.p.A. (BIT:PTR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Pattern
What Is Pattern's Debt?
As you can see below, Pattern had €13.6m of debt, at June 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €18.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €5.05m.
How Strong Is Pattern's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pattern had liabilities of €19.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €13.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €18.7m and €13.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
Having regard to Pattern's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the €87.3m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Pattern also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Pattern's EBIT dived 20%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Pattern's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Pattern has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Pattern recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Pattern's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €5.05m. The cherry on top was that in converted 78% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €4.7m. So we don't have any problem with Pattern's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Pattern that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:PTR
Pattern
Engages in the engineering and production of fashion luxury products for women and men in Italy.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.