Stock Analysis

Does Pozzi Milano (BIT:POZ) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BIT:POZ
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Pozzi Milano S.p.A. (BIT:POZ) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Pozzi Milano

How Much Debt Does Pozzi Milano Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Pozzi Milano had €3.11m of debt in December 2023, down from €5.81m, one year before. However, it does have €1.74m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.37m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:POZ Debt to Equity History May 29th 2024

How Strong Is Pozzi Milano's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pozzi Milano had liabilities of €4.41m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.51m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.74m as well as receivables valued at €4.51m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €674.2k more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Pozzi Milano has a market capitalization of €19.4m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Pozzi Milano has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.67. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While Pozzi Milano doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Pozzi Milano's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Pozzi Milano burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Pozzi Milano's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Pozzi Milano's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Pozzi Milano has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.