Stock Analysis
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies G.M. Leather S.p.A. (BIT:GML) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for G.M. Leather
How Much Debt Does G.M. Leather Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 G.M. Leather had €27.5m of debt, an increase on €22.8m, over one year. However, it does have €1.66m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €25.8m.
A Look At G.M. Leather's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, G.M. Leather had liabilities of €29.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €11.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €1.66m in cash and €11.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €28.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €12.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, G.M. Leather would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 1.7 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 hit our confidence in G.M. Leather like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Fortunately, G.M. Leather grew its EBIT by 2.1% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine G.M. Leather's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, G.M. Leather burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both G.M. Leather's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think G.M. Leather has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for G.M. Leather (2 are significant) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:GML
G.M. Leather
Engages in the research and development, production, marketing, and sale of finished leathers for furniture, automotive aftermarket, footwear, and leather goods sectors in Italy, European countries, and non- European countries.