It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really bad investments should be rare. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Tesmec S.p.A. (BIT:TES); the share price is down a whopping 84% in the last three years. That would be a disturbing experience. And over the last year the share price fell 78%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 52% in the last three months.
While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
Check out our latest analysis for Tesmec
Tesmec wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.
Over three years, Tesmec grew revenue at 3.2% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. But the share price crash at 23% per year does seem a bit harsh! While we're definitely wary of the stock, after that kind of performance, it could be an over-reaction. Before considering a purchase, take a look at the losses the company is racking up.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Take a more thorough look at Tesmec's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Tesmec's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Tesmec's TSR, which was a 71% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Tesmec shareholders are down 59% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.7%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Tesmec (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IT exchanges.
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About BIT:TES
Tesmec
Designs, produces, and markets products and solutions for the construction, maintenance, and streamlining of infrastructures relating to the transmission of electrical power, data, and material transport in Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North and Central America, and BRIC and other countries.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.