Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Maire S.p.A.'s (BIT:MAIRE) Full-Year Report

There's been a notable change in appetite for Maire S.p.A. (BIT:MAIRE) shares in the week since its yearly report, with the stock down 15% to €8.06. Revenues of €5.9b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at €0.60, missing estimates by 2.9%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Maire after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Maire

Following the latest results, Maire's six analysts are now forecasting revenues of €6.65b in 2025. This would be a meaningful 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 19% to €0.72. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €6.82b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.76 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the €10.28 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Maire analyst has a price target of €12.80 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €8.40. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Maire'shistorical trends, as the 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 15% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 13% annually. So although Maire is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Maire. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Maire. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Maire going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Maire , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.