Edil San Felice Valuation

Is ESF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ESF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ESF (€3.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ESF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESF?

Key metric: As ESF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ESF. This is calculated by dividing ESF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ESF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
Earnings€8.62m
Market Cap€73.34m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
EDAC EdiliziAcrobatica
21.7x46.2%€63.3m
CML Comal
7.3x23.1%€49.5m
PLC PLC
9.5xn/a€43.1m
AGP Altea Green Power
17.6x22.1%€119.1m
ESF Edil San Felice
8.5x11.0%€73.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ESF 8.5xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ESF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.81
€5.85
+53.5%
0.9%€5.90€5.80n/a2
Nov ’25€4.23
€6.00
+41.8%
3.3%€6.20€5.80n/a2
Oct ’25€4.12
€5.90
+43.2%
5.1%€6.20€5.60n/a2
Sep ’25€4.13
€5.90
+42.9%
5.1%€6.20€5.60n/a2
Aug ’25€4.09
€5.90
+44.3%
5.1%€6.20€5.60n/a2
Jul ’25€4.13
€5.50
+33.2%
1.8%€5.60€5.40n/a2
Jun ’25€4.40
€5.50
+25.0%
1.8%€5.60€5.40n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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