Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN)?

BIT:DAN
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Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (BIT:DAN), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the BIT. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche

What's the opportunity in Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 18% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €20.03, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:DAN Earnings and Revenue Growth January 20th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 97%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in DAN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on DAN, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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