Hensoldt Valuation

Is 1HENS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1HENS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1HENS (€36.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€80.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1HENS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1HENS?

Key metric: As 1HENS is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1HENS. This is calculated by dividing 1HENS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1HENS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2x
Sales€2.09b
Market Cap€4.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1HENS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1HENS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
LDO Leonardo
0.8x4.9%€14.4b
AVIO Avio
0.8x10.2%€306.8m
TPS Technical Publications Service
0.9x6.2%€48.6m
IP Interpump Group
2.2x4.3%€4.6b
1HENS Hensoldt
2x13.2%€4.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1HENS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1HENS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1HENS 2.0xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies10PS01.22.43.64.86+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1HENS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1HENS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1HENS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1HENS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1HENS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.38
€38.82
+6.7%
14.5%€49.00€27.00n/a9
Nov ’25€31.50
€38.82
+23.2%
14.5%€49.00€27.00n/a9
Oct ’25€30.46
€38.49
+26.4%
14.6%€49.00€27.00n/a9
Sep ’25€34.02
€38.93
+14.4%
14.5%€49.00€27.00n/a9
Aug ’25€33.62
€38.93
+15.8%
14.5%€49.00€27.00n/a9
Jul ’25€35.14
€38.36
+9.2%
15.3%€49.00€27.00n/a8
Jun ’25€37.32
€38.36
+2.8%
15.3%€49.00€27.00n/a8
May ’25€37.66
€36.49
-3.1%
15.2%€43.50€27.00n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
€34.18
0%
16.1%€39.50€24.00n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
€31.85
0%
16.8%€39.50€24.00n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
€29.67
0%
15.8%€37.70€24.00n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€30.05
0%
15.6%€37.30€24.00n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
€31.54
0%
13.6%€37.30€24.00n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
€32.03
0%
13.1%€37.30€25.00€31.507
Oct ’24n/a
€32.46
0%
11.8%€37.30€25.00€30.467
Sep ’24n/a
€32.46
0%
11.8%€37.30€25.00€34.027
Aug ’24n/a
€32.46
0%
11.8%€37.30€25.00€33.627
Jul ’24n/a
€32.51
0%
11.7%€37.30€25.00€35.147
Jun ’24n/a
€34.30
0%
6.0%€37.30€31.50€37.326
May ’24n/a
€32.97
0%
7.8%€37.30€29.00€37.666
Apr ’24n/a
€30.75
0%
6.5%€34.00€28.00n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
€30.25
0%
6.6%€34.00€28.00n/a6
Feb ’24n/a
€27.30
0%
4.1%€29.00€25.30n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
€27.05
0%
4.9%€29.00€25.30n/a6
Dec ’23n/a
€27.53
0%
8.5%€32.00€24.20n/a6
Nov ’23n/a
€28.42
0%
3.7%€30.00€27.00n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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