Leonardo Valuation

Is LDO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LDO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LDO (€25.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LDO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LDO?

Key metric: As LDO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LDO. This is calculated by dividing LDO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LDO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.8x
Earnings€704.00m
Market Cap€14.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LDO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LDO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.4x
AVIO Avio
32.3x27.5%€314.8m
PRY Prysmian
31.2x20.7%€17.7b
IP Interpump Group
21.1x12.2%€4.5b
TPS Technical Publications Service
13.2x13.2%€47.9m
LDO Leonardo
20.8x13.8%€14.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LDO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (24.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LDO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LDO 20.8xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies9PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LDO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LDO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LDO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LDO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LDO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.51
€26.21
+2.7%
14.8%€30.00€16.00n/a15
Nov ’25€22.31
€25.67
+15.1%
14.1%€30.00€16.00n/a15
Oct ’25€20.36
€25.03
+23.0%
16.5%€29.00€16.00n/a15
Sep ’25€22.96
€25.03
+9.0%
16.5%€29.00€16.00n/a15
Aug ’25€21.60
€25.09
+16.2%
17.0%€30.00€16.00n/a15
Jul ’25€21.82
€24.55
+12.5%
17.3%€30.00€16.00n/a15
Jun ’25€23.57
€24.55
+4.2%
17.3%€30.00€16.00n/a15
May ’25€21.63
€23.10
+6.8%
19.3%€29.00€16.00n/a15
Apr ’25€23.28
€21.13
-9.2%
18.6%€28.00€16.00n/a15
Mar ’25€20.24
€18.98
-6.2%
14.3%€23.30€15.00n/a16
Feb ’25€16.02
€16.96
+5.9%
8.7%€20.00€14.00n/a16
Jan ’25€14.94
€16.04
+7.4%
10.7%€20.00€12.50n/a16
Dec ’24€14.34
€15.88
+10.8%
10.6%€20.00€12.50n/a16
Nov ’24€14.47
€14.86
+2.7%
12.2%€18.00€10.55€22.3114
Oct ’24€13.66
€14.17
+3.7%
13.3%€16.80€10.55€20.3613
Sep ’24€13.32
€13.61
+2.2%
12.9%€16.80€10.55€22.9613
Aug ’24€12.43
€13.47
+8.4%
12.4%€16.80€10.55€21.6013
Jul ’24€10.40
€13.35
+28.4%
11.2%€16.00€10.55€21.8213
Jun ’24€10.33
€13.53
+31.0%
10.4%€16.00€10.55€23.5712
May ’24€10.81
€13.43
+24.2%
12.0%€16.00€9.60€21.6312
Apr ’24€10.82
€13.15
+21.5%
12.8%€16.00€9.60€23.2813
Mar ’24€10.62
€12.06
+13.6%
12.7%€15.40€9.60€20.2413
Feb ’24€9.60
€12.11
+26.1%
12.7%€15.40€9.60€16.0213
Jan ’24€8.06
€12.08
+49.8%
12.8%€15.40€10.60€14.9412
Dec ’23€7.69
€12.07
+56.9%
12.6%€15.30€10.60€14.3412
Nov ’23€8.17
€12.68
+55.3%
11.9%€15.30€10.70€14.4712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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