Airbus Valuation

Is 1AIR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1AIR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1AIR (€138.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€342.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1AIR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1AIR?

Key metric: As 1AIR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1AIR. This is calculated by dividing 1AIR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1AIR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.5x
Earnings€3.27b
Market Cap€109.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1AIR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1AIR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
LDO Leonardo
20.3x13.8%€14.3b
AVIO Avio
31.8x27.5%€310.3m
LMT Lockheed Martin
18.9x2.0%US$126.8b
PRY Prysmian
30.9x20.8%€17.7b
1AIR Airbus
33.5x21.8%€109.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1AIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the peer average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1AIR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1AIR 33.5xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1AIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1AIR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1AIR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.5x
Fair PE Ratio35.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1AIR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1AIR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€138.48
€161.41
+16.6%
11.2%€185.00€109.00n/a22
Nov ’25€142.10
€161.82
+13.9%
11.8%€200.00€109.00n/a22
Oct ’25€128.68
€163.70
+27.2%
11.6%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Sep ’25€139.04
€165.50
+19.0%
10.9%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Aug ’25€134.32
€164.60
+22.5%
10.8%€200.00€109.00n/a20
Jul ’25€132.02
€167.85
+27.1%
11.6%€210.00€119.00n/a20
Jun ’25€155.48
€179.90
+15.7%
11.7%€210.00€119.00n/a20
May ’25€155.70
€179.40
+15.2%
11.4%€202.00€119.00n/a20
Apr ’25€171.02
€172.05
+0.6%
12.0%€202.00€106.00n/a21
Mar ’25€149.50
€163.86
+9.6%
13.7%€195.00€106.00n/a22
Feb ’25€147.00
€162.00
+10.2%
13.9%€203.00€105.00n/a22
Jan ’25€139.74
€155.45
+11.2%
14.4%€208.00€100.00n/a22
Dec ’24€138.22
€151.64
+9.7%
12.2%€185.00€100.00n/a22
Nov ’24€128.14
€150.41
+17.4%
12.1%€185.00€101.00€142.1022
Oct ’24€127.30
€149.14
+17.2%
13.1%€193.00€100.00€128.6821
Sep ’24€124.02
€148.90
+20.1%
13.3%€193.00€100.00€139.0421
Aug ’24€141.14
€148.10
+4.9%
13.5%€193.00€100.00€134.3220
Jul ’24€132.26
€145.15
+9.7%
13.7%€193.00€100.00€132.0220
Jun ’24€124.90
€144.41
+15.6%
15.3%€200.00€100.00€155.4817
May ’24€125.52
€144.09
+14.8%
15.5%€200.00€100.00€155.7017
Apr ’24€123.48
€144.53
+17.0%
15.2%€200.00€100.00€171.0218
Mar ’24€122.22
€144.42
+18.2%
15.3%€200.00€100.00€149.5018
Feb ’24€115.40
€142.58
+23.6%
12.7%€185.00€105.00€147.0018
Jan ’24€111.50
€147.79
+32.5%
12.2%€200.00€130.00€139.7417
Dec ’23€109.70
€149.97
+36.7%
12.5%€200.00€132.00€138.2217
Nov ’23€113.00
€148.44
+31.4%
11.4%€185.00€132.00€128.1417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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