Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A.

BIT:ISP Stock Report

Market Cap: €118.6b

Intesa Sanpaolo Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Intesa Sanpaolo has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 24.1%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 18.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.9% per year. Intesa Sanpaolo's return on equity is 14%, and it has net margins of 37%.

Key information

24.09%

Earnings growth rate

26.11%

EPS growth rate

Banks Industry Growth21.39%
Revenue growth rate9.91%
Return on equity14.00%
Net Margin36.96%
Next Earnings Update30 Oct 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Aug 01

ISP: Record Earnings And 2026 Guidance Will Test New P/E Framework

Intesa Sanpaolo’s analyst price target is updated from €6.89 to €7.05, supported by recent Street research in which analysts highlight adjusted discount rate assumptions, a slightly different revenue growth outlook, firmer profit margin expectations, and a revised future P/E of 12.89x as key drivers of their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo points to a mix of optimism and caution around the updated valuation work, with different firms adjusting price targets and ratings in light of their views on execution and earnings resilience.
Narrative Update Jul 16

ISP: Cloud Overhaul And 2026 Earnings Framework Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Intesa Sanpaolo higher, with a move from about €6.75 to roughly €6.89, supported by updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent Street research including a price target increase to €7.10. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo points to a mix of optimism around valuation and execution, alongside some caution on how the bank will deliver against expectations embedded in updated price targets.
Narrative Update Jun 10

ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Depend On Monte Dei Paschi Bid Execution

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher, with recent Street research pointing to a move from about €6.73 to roughly €6.75 as firms fine tune assumptions on fair value, discount rates, growth and future price-to-earnings ratios. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Intesa Sanpaolo shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.
Narrative Update May 26

ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Rely On Fees Insurance And Cost Discipline

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo higher to €6.73 from €6.61, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, profitability and future P/E in the wake of recent price target changes. These include JPMorgan lifting its target to €7.10, while Morgan Stanley trims its own to €6.80.
Narrative Update May 03

ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Rely On Fees Insurance And Cost Discipline

The analyst fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo has inched higher to about €6.61 per share, a marginal move that reflects modest tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent price target changes and rating upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are comfortable lifting price targets into the €6.80 range or higher, which supports the view that recent earnings assumptions and capital return expectations can justify a P/E closer to peers.
Narrative Update Apr 19

ISP: 2026 Fee And Insurance Income Will Support Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo slightly, with the implied price target easing by about €0.05 as updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E are incorporated into their models, while recent Street research shows a mix of target cuts and upgrades across major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo shows both upward and downward adjustments to price targets, reflecting different views on how the current valuation lines up with execution and growth expectations.
Narrative Update Apr 04

ISP: Fee And Insurance Strength Will Support Medium Term Earnings Upside

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo from €6.43 to €6.65, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations after a series of recent price target raises and upgrades from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo has centered on higher price targets and upgrades, which feed directly into the updated fair value estimate.
Narrative Update Feb 02

ISP: Higher Earnings Multiple And Fair Value View Will Shape Medium Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo to €6.43 from €6.33, citing updated price targets in the €6.80 to €6.90 range, slightly adjusted discount rates, refined revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on higher price targets for Intesa Sanpaolo, with JPMorgan and other bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on earnings power and valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Jan 19

ISP: Higher Earnings Multiple Assumptions Will Support Earnings Visibility And Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo higher to €6.33 from €6.20, reflecting recent upward price target revisions to €6.80 and €6.90, as well as updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more positive on Intesa Sanpaolo, with higher price targets feeding into the updated fair value estimate of €6.33.
Narrative Update Jan 04

ISP: Incremental Actions Will Sustain Earnings Visibility And Balanced Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher to approximately EUR 6.20, reflecting broadly unchanged assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rates, and a view that incremental, controllable actions can sustain the bank's leading profitability without the need for revolutionary change. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Intesa Sanpaolo remains broadly constructive, with most commentators highlighting the bank's solid earnings profile and scope for steady value creation, even as some trim valuation assumptions at the margin.
Narrative Update Dec 14

ISP: Incremental Actions And Earnings Visibility Will Sustain Balanced Risk And Reward

Analysts have nudged their price target on Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher, to about EUR 6.18 from EUR 6.17. This reflects a modestly lower discount rate and stable growth and profitability expectations, supported by recent research that highlights room for incremental improvements without requiring major strategic shifts.
Narrative Update Nov 28

ISP: Incremental Improvements And Efficiency Will Sustain Balanced Risk And Opportunity Ahead

Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst price target has increased slightly from €6.16 to €6.17, as analysts cite steady profitability drivers and manageable growth expectations which underpin their outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Intesa Sanpaolo highlights a blend of optimism and caution among analysts covering the stock.
Narrative Update Nov 14

ISP: Incremental Improvements And Efficiency Will Help Maintain Stable Earnings Outlook

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo from €6.08 to €6.16, citing improved revenue growth forecasts and sustained profit margins as key factors supporting a higher price target. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a dynamic range of perspectives on Intesa Sanpaolo's prospects, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions based on evolving views of profitability, growth, and execution capability.
Narrative Update Oct 30

ISP: Measured Upside Expected As Shareholder Returns And Momentum Weigh Against Limited Surprises

Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst fair value target has risen modestly from €5.95 to €6.08. This reflects analysts’ confidence in improved revenue growth expectations and sustained profitability drivers.
Narrative Update Oct 16

Digital Transformation, ESG, And European Integration Will Drive Future Opportunity

Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst price target has been modestly increased from €5.88 to €5.95. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved profitability and stronger revenue growth in the near term.
Narrative Update Sep 04

Digital Transformation, ESG, And European Integration Will Drive Future Opportunity

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Intesa Sanpaolo driven by resilient profitability, strong capital management, and sustained operating performance, resulting in no change to the consensus price target, which remains at €5.88. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts attribute the price target increases to improved earnings visibility and resilient profitability.
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New Narrative Nov 07

Technological Investment To Boost Bank Efficiency But Macro Uncertainties Loom Large

Intesa Sanpaolo's investment in technology and workforce restructuring aims to enhance efficiency, net margins, and overall earnings.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Intesa Sanpaolo makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

BIT:ISP Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Jun 2626,1319,65910,3060
31 Mar 2625,7069,46710,2580
31 Dec 2525,3189,32110,2430
30 Sep 2525,1009,08710,2310
30 Jun 2525,2999,11610,2980
31 Mar 2525,4318,98010,3320
31 Dec 2425,3768,66610,6740
30 Sep 2424,9738,76910,4560
30 Jun 2424,7048,26810,9050
31 Mar 2423,7718,06910,8100
31 Dec 2323,1577,72410,7540
30 Sep 2322,2957,19811,8210
30 Jun 2320,5666,25511,5570
31 Mar 2319,2135,29211,6630
31 Dec 2218,0044,37911,6540
30 Sep 2217,3033,48211,6650
30 Jun 2217,4173,50811,7930
31 Mar 2217,3423,71211,9680
31 Dec 2118,1174,18512,1460
30 Sep 2117,82690712,1600
30 Jun 2117,0713,73412,0600
31 Mar 2115,6542,52711,5940
31 Dec 2014,3142,14111,0370
30 Sep 2014,8906,09410,4370
30 Jun 2014,9763,31210,0350
31 Mar 2016,0304,21210,0940
31 Dec 1915,8274,11810,0990
30 Sep 1915,4844,25410,1160
30 Jun 1915,2104,05910,0940
31 Mar 1914,9563,78710,1440
31 Dec 1815,4404,00210,1990
30 Sep 1815,2644,44010,3140
30 Jun 1814,7634,25710,3400
31 Mar 1814,6807,66610,1360
31 Dec 1713,6557,3169,8790
30 Sep 1713,3455,7989,8750
30 Jun 1713,3215,7619,6440
31 Mar 1713,1362,2329,6400
31 Dec 1613,3042,1249,6390
30 Sep 1613,4262,2129,9080
30 Jun 1613,3852,3069,7420
31 Mar 1613,6632,4089,7040
31 Dec 1514,2412,6799,6900
30 Sep 1514,1652,7299,2170

Quality Earnings: ISP has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ISP's current net profit margins (37%) are higher than last year (36%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ISP's earnings have grown significantly by 24.1% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ISP's earnings growth over the past year (6%) is below its 5-year average (24.1% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: ISP earnings growth over the past year (6%) exceeded the Banks industry 3.9%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: ISP's Return on Equity (14%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/24 17:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/24 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. is covered by 37 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Irene RossettoBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Javier Esteban LarioBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Juan Lopez CoboBanco Santander