Banco Santander Valuation

Is 1SANX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1SANX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1SANX (€4.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1SANX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1SANX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1SANX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio4.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1SANX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1SANX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.1x
ISP Intesa Sanpaolo
8.3x-0.8%€64.4b
UCG UniCredit
6.2x-5.7%€58.2b
MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario
10.3x5.8%€11.1b
BAMI Banco BPM
7.4x-2.4%€9.3b
1SANX Banco Santander
6.6x1.6%€71.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1SANX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1SANX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-3.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1SANX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1SANX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1SANX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1SANX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1SANX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.57
€5.26
+15.2%
9.6%€6.20€3.80n/a22
Apr ’25€4.52
€5.11
+12.9%
9.1%€5.80€3.80n/a22
Mar ’25€3.86
€5.01
+29.5%
9.2%€5.55€3.80n/a23
Feb ’25€3.74
€4.96
+32.7%
10.0%€5.55€3.60n/a23
Jan ’25€3.78
€4.92
+30.5%
10.3%€5.55€3.60n/a22
Dec ’24€3.80
€4.92
+29.5%
10.3%€5.55€3.60n/a22
Nov ’24€3.45
€4.92
+42.5%
11.2%€5.90€3.60n/a23
Oct ’24€3.62
€4.84
+33.7%
10.0%€5.70€3.80n/a23
Sep ’24€3.53
€4.84
+37.0%
9.8%€5.70€3.80n/a24
Aug ’24€3.59
€4.80
+33.7%
10.2%€5.70€3.80n/a24
Jul ’24€3.40
€4.63
+36.1%
10.0%€5.54€3.80n/a21
Jun ’24€3.09
€4.58
+48.3%
12.4%€5.54€3.01n/a20
May ’24€3.16
€4.64
+46.7%
12.9%€5.60€3.01€4.5920
Apr ’24€3.45
€4.63
+34.5%
12.0%€5.54€3.01€4.5220
Mar ’24€3.71
€4.47
+20.7%
13.2%€5.82€3.01€3.8620
Feb ’24€3.24
€4.05
+25.0%
14.6%€5.20€3.01€3.7420
Jan ’24€2.81
€4.03
+43.8%
15.1%€5.10€3.01€3.7819
Dec ’23€2.84
€3.99
+40.6%
16.0%€5.10€3.01€3.8019
Nov ’23€2.68
€3.91
+46.0%
20.2%€5.10€1.65€3.4519
Oct ’23€2.36
€3.92
+66.2%
20.0%€5.30€1.65€3.6220
Sep ’23€2.36
€3.91
+65.8%
20.9%€5.30€1.65€3.5320
Aug ’23€2.39
€3.92
+64.3%
20.8%€5.30€1.65€3.5920
Jul ’23€2.67
€3.95
+48.1%
18.4%€5.30€2.28€3.4019
Jun ’23€2.98
€3.96
+32.6%
14.4%€5.09€3.00€3.0919
May ’23€2.79
€4.04
+44.6%
13.6%€5.09€3.00€3.1621

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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