Société Générale Société anonyme

BIT:1GLE Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.0b

Société Générale Société anonyme Valuation

Is 1GLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1GLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1GLE (€26.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€61.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1GLE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1GLE?

Key metric: As 1GLE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1GLE. This is calculated by dividing 1GLE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1GLE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
Earnings€2.86b
Market Cap€20.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1GLE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1GLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario
9.8x4.2%€11.9b
BAMI Banco BPM
5.3x-14.0%€10.5b
FBK FinecoBank Banca Fineco
14.2x-1.2%€9.3b
BMPS Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena
2.8x-24.0%€7.8b
1GLE Société Générale Société anonyme
7.3x14.7%€21.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1GLE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1GLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1GLE 7.3xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies44PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1GLE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1GLE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1GLE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1GLE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1GLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.16
€32.28
+23.4%
14.8%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Nov ’25€27.31
€31.78
+16.4%
15.3%€45.00€24.00n/a19
Oct ’25€21.94
€30.50
+39.1%
17.0%€45.50€24.00n/a20
Sep ’25€21.80
€30.75
+41.1%
16.1%€45.50€24.90n/a20
Aug ’25€21.80
€31.09
+42.6%
15.6%€45.50€25.50n/a20
Jul ’25€22.69
€30.94
+36.4%
15.8%€45.90€24.84n/a21
Jun ’25€27.41
€30.26
+10.4%
12.1%€40.20€24.84n/a20
May ’25€25.40
€30.04
+18.3%
12.8%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Apr ’25€24.77
€29.50
+19.1%
13.6%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Mar ’25€22.70
€29.64
+30.6%
13.9%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Feb ’25€22.97
€30.07
+30.9%
13.9%€40.20€21.90n/a21
Jan ’25€24.05
€30.06
+25.0%
14.0%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Dec ’24€23.70
€29.99
+26.5%
14.1%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Nov ’24€21.21
€31.07
+46.5%
10.9%€40.20€26.00€27.3120
Oct ’24€23.14
€31.37
+35.6%
11.0%€40.20€25.96€21.9420
Sep ’24€26.17
€35.05
+33.9%
12.6%€46.00€25.50€21.8021
Aug ’24€24.29
€33.79
+39.1%
14.2%€43.00€25.50€21.8021
Jul ’24€24.15
€33.35
+38.1%
14.4%€43.00€25.50€22.6920
Jun ’24€21.69
€33.01
+52.2%
12.7%€40.20€25.50€27.4121
May ’24€21.87
€33.01
+51.0%
12.2%€40.20€25.50€25.4021
Apr ’24€20.84
€33.18
+59.2%
11.9%€40.20€25.50€24.7721
Mar ’24€26.51
€32.84
+23.9%
12.9%€40.20€25.50€22.7021
Feb ’24€27.46
€32.63
+18.8%
13.3%€40.20€25.50€22.9721
Jan ’24€23.50
€33.19
+41.2%
14.8%€41.00€25.00€24.0520
Dec ’23€23.57
€33.59
+42.5%
14.0%€41.00€25.00€23.7020
Nov ’23€23.41
€32.74
+39.9%
17.5%€42.30€17.15€21.2122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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