Stock Analysis

Here's Why Stellantis (BIT:STLAM) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

BIT:STLAM
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Stellantis N.V. (BIT:STLAM) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Stellantis

What Is Stellantis's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Stellantis had €29.9b of debt, an increase on €27.3b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €38.1b in cash, so it actually has €8.21b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:STLAM Debt to Equity History December 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Stellantis' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Stellantis had liabilities of €76.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of €48.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €38.1b as well as receivables valued at €13.0b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €73.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €35.4b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Stellantis would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Given that Stellantis has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

In fact Stellantis's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 27% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Stellantis can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Stellantis may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Stellantis produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

Although Stellantis's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €8.21b. Despite the cash, we do find Stellantis's level of total liabilities concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Stellantis has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.