Stock Analysis

Piaggio & C (BIT:PIA) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At €0.125

BIT:PIA
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The board of Piaggio & C. SpA (BIT:PIA) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of €0.125 on the 20th of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 7.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Piaggio & C

Piaggio & C's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Piaggio & C's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 96% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 49.0%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 56% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
BIT:PIA Historic Dividend September 11th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.092 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.25. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Piaggio & C Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Piaggio & C has been growing its earnings per share at 33% a year over the past five years. However, Piaggio & C isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we wonder how quickly it will be able to grow in the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Piaggio & C will make a great income stock. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Piaggio & C that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.