Stock Analysis

Is Piaggio & C. SpA (BIT:PIA) Potentially Undervalued?

BIT:PIA
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While Piaggio & C. SpA (BIT:PIA) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BIT over the last few months, increasing to €3.81 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €3.00. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Piaggio & C's current trading price of €3.00 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Piaggio & C’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Piaggio & C

What's The Opportunity In Piaggio & C?

Piaggio & C appears to be overvalued by 32% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €3.00 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of €2.27. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Piaggio & C’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Piaggio & C?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BIT:PIA Earnings and Revenue Growth September 27th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Piaggio & C's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 49%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in PIA’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe PIA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PIA for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for PIA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Piaggio & C, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.