The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Brembo S.p.A. (BIT:BRE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Brembo Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Brembo had €726.6m of debt, up from €679.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €286.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €439.8m.
How Healthy Is Brembo's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Brembo had liabilities of €1.19b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €762.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €286.8m and €881.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €781.6m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Brembo has a market capitalization of €3.66b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Brembo has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.81. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 32.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that Brembo has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brembo's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Brembo's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Brembo's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Brembo is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Brembo you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:BRE
Brembo
Designs, develops, produces, and sells braking systems and components for cars, motorbikes, and industrial vehicles and machinery.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.