Continental Aktiengesellschaft

BIT:1CON Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.6b

Continental Valuation

Is 1CON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1CON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1CON (€63.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€178.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1CON is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1CON?

Key metric: As 1CON is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1CON. This is calculated by dividing 1CON's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1CON's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.6x
Earnings€1.01b
Market Cap€12.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1CON's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1CON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
BRE Brembo
10.5x13.2%€2.8b
CIR CIR. - Compagnie Industriali Riunite
36.4x-4.7%€592.3m
SGF Sogefi
3.3x-49.1%€235.8m
PIRC Pirelli & C
11.9x12.4%€5.1b
1CON Continental
12.6x23.5%€12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1CON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1CON's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1CON 12.6xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1CON is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1CON's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1CON PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1CON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1CON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€63.32
€76.78
+21.3%
16.9%€108.00€55.00n/a18
Nov ’25€57.04
€75.72
+32.8%
17.2%€108.00€55.00n/a18
Oct ’25€57.18
€76.00
+32.9%
17.5%€108.00€55.00n/a18
Sep ’25€61.06
€76.72
+25.7%
17.6%€108.00€54.00n/a18
Aug ’25€55.14
€75.11
+36.2%
18.3%€108.00€54.00n/a19
Jul ’25€53.06
€76.47
+44.1%
17.9%€108.00€54.00n/a19
Jun ’25€62.18
€81.83
+31.6%
15.5%€108.00€59.00n/a18
May ’25€61.32
€83.44
+36.1%
13.3%€108.00€62.00n/a18
Apr ’25€66.82
€88.18
+32.0%
23.5%€163.00€67.00n/a17
Mar ’25€73.66
€89.38
+21.3%
23.9%€163.00€67.00n/a16
Feb ’25€75.56
€89.13
+18.0%
24.0%€163.00€67.00n/a16
Jan ’25€76.84
€87.44
+13.8%
24.1%€163.00€70.00n/a16
Dec ’24€70.84
€85.13
+20.2%
25.6%€162.00€67.00n/a16
Nov ’24€61.92
€81.76
+32.0%
26.4%€162.00€67.00€57.0417
Oct ’24€67.92
€82.88
+22.0%
26.6%€162.00€67.00€57.1816
Sep ’24€67.50
€82.81
+22.7%
26.7%€162.00€67.00€61.0616
Aug ’24€73.10
€83.13
+13.7%
26.5%€159.00€64.00€55.1416
Jul ’24€68.36
€82.25
+20.3%
26.7%€159.00€65.00€53.0616
Jun ’24€63.16
€82.25
+30.2%
26.7%€159.00€65.00€62.1816
May ’24€63.50
€82.25
+29.5%
26.9%€159.00€62.00€61.3216
Apr ’24€69.16
€81.19
+17.4%
24.9%€150.00€65.00€66.8216
Mar ’24€68.26
€77.59
+13.7%
24.8%€146.00€59.00€73.6617
Feb ’24€64.50
€76.18
+18.1%
26.5%€146.00€52.00€75.5617
Jan ’24€54.84
€73.44
+33.9%
30.1%€146.00€46.00€76.8418
Dec ’23€57.00
€73.33
+28.7%
30.2%€146.00€46.00€70.8418
Nov ’23€52.90
€73.05
+38.1%
30.2%€144.00€46.00€61.9219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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