Stock Analysis

Síminn hf (ICE:SIMINN) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

ICSE:SIMINN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Síminn hf. (ICE:SIMINN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Síminn hf

What Is Síminn hf's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Síminn hf had Kr16.0b of debt, at March 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had Kr697.0m in cash, and so its net debt is Kr15.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ICSE:SIMINN Debt to Equity History May 6th 2021

How Healthy Is Síminn hf's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Síminn hf had liabilities of Kr15.1b due within a year, and liabilities of Kr11.4b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of Kr697.0m and Kr2.17b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total Kr23.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Síminn hf has a market capitalization of Kr76.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Síminn hf uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.0 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. On the other hand, Síminn hf's EBIT dived 14%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Síminn hf will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Síminn hf produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Síminn hf's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Síminn hf's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Síminn hf (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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