Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Eik fasteignafélag hf. (ICE:EIK) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Eik fasteignafélag hf
What Is Eik fasteignafélag hf's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Eik fasteignafélag hf had Kr61.5b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has Kr2.71b in cash leading to net debt of about Kr58.8b.
How Healthy Is Eik fasteignafélag hf's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Eik fasteignafélag hf had liabilities of Kr2.71b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Kr69.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had Kr2.71b in cash and Kr539.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Kr68.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the Kr33.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Eik fasteignafélag hf would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 2.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.8 hit our confidence in Eik fasteignafélag hf like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Eik fasteignafélag hf saw its EBIT drop by 3.9% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Eik fasteignafélag hf will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Eik fasteignafélag hf produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
On the face of it, Eik fasteignafélag hf's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Eik fasteignafélag hf's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Eik fasteignafélag hf (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ICSE:EIK
Eik fasteignafélag hf
Engages in owning, operating, and leasing business premises.
Established dividend payer and good value.